Report

MOSL: CEMENT-Expect pricing volatility in short term in Central markets-However, long-term attractiveness of the region remains intact

​CeMENT: Expect pricing volatility in short term in Central markets; However, long-term attractiveness of the region remains intact

  • Jaiprakash Associates’ (JPA) Satna cluster units in Central India are operating at less than 30% utilization due to working capital issues. With the completion of JPA’s acquisition by UltraTech Cement (UTCEM) in 1QFY18, we expect UTCEM to ramp up the utilization of these assets to up to 60% over the next 6-9 months.
  • Increased utilization of JPA’s assets in the Satna cluster would result in 6-7% higher supply in the Central markets. Hence, there might be volatility in cement prices in the region, at least in the short term.
  • This does not, however, change the long-term attractiveness of Central India as a cement market. With healthy volume growth and minimal additional supplies (other than from JPA), the longer-term price trajectory should resume.
  • We believe UTCEM’s increasing presence in a market dominated by tier-II players would improve the overall business dynamics in the region.

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Motilal Oswal
Motilal Oswal

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