Report
Tushar Manudhane
EUR 120.00 For Business Accounts Only

MOSL: HEALTHCARE-IPM growth picks up led by prices, volume growth stable

HEALTHCARE: IPM growth picks up led by prices, volume growth stable

 

  • Indian pharmaceutical market's (IPM) secondary sales growth picked up to 9.8% YoY in Dec'18 from 6.3% in Nov'18, led by prices (+4.7% YoY) and new launches (+2.6% YoY). IPM growth stood at 9.5% YoY for the quarter ended Dec'18 and 9.4% for the 12 months ended Dec'18.
  • Volumes rose 2.5% YoY in Dec'18. Notably, after exhibiting downtrend for almost six months, volume growth stabilized to 2.1% YoY in the Dec'18 quarter (but still lower than average growth of ~7.2% YoY from Dec'17 to Jun'18).

 Major support coming from price rise in non-DPCO products

  • In value terms, secondary sales grew 9.9% YoY for non-DPCO products (86% of IPM) and 6.9% YoY for DPCO-listed products (10% of IPM) in Dec'18. Volumes declined by 1.2% YoY for non-DPCO-listed products, implying a considerable price rise in this category.

 IPCA, Biocon, Torrent witness highest growth for Dec-quarter

  • IPCA has been reporting highest growth of >20% for three quarters now (+31% YoY for Dec'18 quarter, with 25-60% growth in top 10 products), followed by Biocon (+21.1% YoY, led by >75% growth in Anti-Neoplastic and Anti-infective), Torrent Pharma (16.4% YoY, led by double-digit growth in top 10 products).
  • Merck (+5% YoY), Dr. Reddy's and GSK Pharma (+6.5% each) underperformed the IPM.
  • Alembic reported highest price growth (+4.6%), Elder Pharma reported highest volume growth (+18.6%) and Natco recorded highest new product launches (+14.9%) on an MAT basis.
Provider
Motilal Oswal
Motilal Oswal

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Analysts
Tushar Manudhane

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