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MOSL: INDIA POLITICS-Unprecedented mandate to NDA-India cheers the larger, wider version of ‘Modi 2.0’; Key overhang behind

INDIA POLITICS: Unprecedented mandate to NDA; India cheers the larger, wider version of ‘Modi 2.0’; Key overhang behind

 

NDA muscles up a landslide two thirds majority; BJP tops half-way mark on its own

The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) has won the 17^th Lok Sabha elections with a thumping two thirds majority. While the final tally is yet to be released, the NDA is winning/leading in 348 out of the 542 seats, according to the Election Commission of India website. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has crossed the majority again with wins/leads in 303 seats, bettering its 2014 tally of 282 seats. The United Progressive Alliance (UPA) has garnered 91 seats, with the Congress winning/leading in 51 seats – marginally better than its lowest-ever tally of 44 seats in 2014. Others are winning/ahead in 103 seats.

 BJP expands vote share gap with Congress

The NDA led by BJP powered its way toward the country’s biggest re-election win in decades. It is the first time since 1971 that an incumbent prime minister with majority is voted back with an even bigger majority. This is also the first time that the Congress has not managed to cross triple digit seats twice in a row in the general elections. The intensity of pro-incumbency wave is reflected in the expanding vote share gap between the BJP and the Congress (up from 11.7% to 16%). The BJP’s vote share has increased from 31% in 2014 to ~38%, while Congress’s vote share has risen from 19.3% to ~22%. For the NDA, the vote share stood at 45% (up 6.3% from 2014) – one of the highest for a winning coalition in the history of Independent India. The UPA also raised its vote share, albeit by a small magnitude of 3.5%, to 29.8%. Thus, the NDA expanded vote share gap versus the UPA from 12.4% in 2014 to 15.2% in 2019.