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Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (12/September/17)- 1.IndusInd Bank 2. Tata Motors 3. Bharat Electronics 4. Fuel or Engines (Economy)

​MOrning India (12/September/17): 1.IndusInd Bank; 2. Tata Motors; 3. Bharat Electronics; 4. Fuel or Engines (Economy)

Today’s top research idea

  • ​TATA Motors: JLR – new products to drive volumes, Fx to drive margins; India business to breakeven in FY18
  • JLR is expected to outperform industry, with ~10% growth in FY18 retails (v/s +4% in FY18 YTD), driven by new launches.
  • Fx hedge losses are expected to start moderating substantially from 4QFY18. Based on the current spot rates, hedge losses for FY19 would be negligible. JLR would now hedge up to 65% of net Fx exposure (v/s up to 85% earlier).
  • JLR's FY18 EBIT margin is expected to be 6% (v/s 1.2% for 1QFY18), driven by moderating incentives from 4QFY18, operating leverage, and favorable Fx. It expects medium-term EBIT margin of 8-10% (in-line).
  • For standalone business, it targets cost savings of ~INR15b in FY18, driving PAT breakeven in FY18 (v/s our est. of net loss of ~INR15.2b).

Piping hot news

Govt mulls Rs 10 trillion public financing for infrastructure projects

With bank credit drying up for large infrastructure projects, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) government is exploring a plan to raise Rs10 trillion from retirees and provident fund beneficiaries, said transport minister Nitin Gadkari.

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