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Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (14/July/17)-1. 1QFY18 Results: 1. TCS, 2. MCX, 3. Cyient; 2. Emami (FY17 Annual Report Update)-3. Telecom

​MOrning India (14/July/17): 1. 1QFY18 Results: 1. TCS, 2. MCX, 3. Cyient; 2. Emami (FY17 Annual Report Update); 3. Telecom; 4. Infosys (Results Expectation)

Today’s top research idea

TCS: Missing revenue traction weighs on profitability too

TCS’ 6.3% YoY CC growth in 1QFY18 was marginally below our estimate of 6.9% YoY. YoY CC growth in larger revenue contributors like BFSI, Retail, North America and UK continued to remain soft.

This in our view implies elevated challenges to exceed 8% YoY CC growth of FY17 this fiscal.

Additionally, while margin pressures from wage hikes and currency were known, TCS’ 240bp EBIT margin decline to 23.4% implied limited offset levers. While TCS retained its confidence of operating in the 26-28% EBIT margin band ex-currency, 1Q margin adjusted for currencies was ~24.5%, the farthest from the band.

The slight revenue miss and larger profitability deficit has led us to revise our earnings estimates downwards by 3-4% over FY18-19.

Piping hot news

HDFC Life may call off merger plan with Max Life, focus on IPO

HDFC Life Insurance may call off its proposed takeover of the Max group’s life insurance business as the two have not been able to arrive at a mutually agreeable alternative structure for the transaction, which the regulator has rejected in its current form.

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