Report
Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (14/November/18): 1. Maruti Suzuki; 2. Sun Pharma; 3. HDFC Std. Life; 4. Zee Entertainment; 5. Britannia Inds; 6. Tata Steel; 7. Shree Cement; 8. Fund Folio (Shrugging off volatility)

MOrning India (14/November/18): 1. Maruti Suzuki; 2. Sun Pharma; 3. HDFC Std. Life; 4. Zee Entertainment; 5. Britannia Inds; 6. Tata Steel; 7. Shree Cement; 8. Fund Folio (Shrugging off volatility)

 

Today’s top research idea

Maruti Suzuki: Cyclical pressures easing; Big picture intact

  • From its recent peak of USD85/bbl, the crude oil price has corrected by ~17%. Domestic PV industry – and also Maruti Suzuki (MSIL) – is highly influenced by the crude cycle, not just in terms of demand but also profitability.
  • The benefit of softening crude prices (which has translated in correction in fuel price by 5-8% from peak) and FX tailwinds (~4% JPYIN appreciation) should drive better demand/margins from 4QFY19.
  • Competitive launches are not much of a concern as MSIL’s pipeline remains strong, with at least two new launches (including full upgrade) per annum for the next 3-5 years. We expect the contribution from new models and product mix to improve 4QFY19 onward.
  • We remain positive on MSIL, given its (a) multi-year favorable product lifecycle, (b) better product mix aiding realizations/margins, (c) reducing JPY exposure, (d) lower capex intensity, (e) better FCF conversion and (f) improving RoIC.

Piping hot news

Zee plans strategic divestment to fuel global ambitions

  • Media and entertainment conglomerate Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd has decided to divest 50% of Essel Group’s shareholding in the company as it looks for a global strategic partner. The move would help it maximize long-term value and transform it into a global media-tech player with content offering for audiences in more than 170 countries.
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Motilal Oswal
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