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Team Research
EUR 120.00 For Business Accounts Only

MOSL: Morning India (17/June/19): 1. Godrej Consumer (Balance sheet improving, earnings revival awaited); 2. Hexaware Tech.; 3. KEC International; 4. S H Kelkar Co.; 5. Metals; 6. Utilities; 7. EcoScope

MOrning India (17/June/19): 1. Godrej Consumer (Balance sheet improving, earnings revival awaited); 2. Hexaware Tech.; 3. KEC International; 4. S H Kelkar Co.; 5. Metals; 6. Utilities; 7. EcoScope

 

Today’s top research idea

Godrej Consumer: Balance sheet improving, earnings revival awaited

Management meet and financial analysis takeaways

  • Domestic volumes should grow faster compared to 4QFY19 on expected recovery in demand environment, traction on new products and better utilization of expanded distribution but material revival in volumes and earnings will take time.
  • Balance sheet performance -a key concern area in the past- has been good in recent years, particularly on cash conversion cycle, which declined from 47 days to 14 days in the past three years (on average basis) and from 60 days to 11 days on year-end basis. Nevertheless material ROCE improvement beyond 17.7% in FY19 (16.5% in FY16) needs strong earnings revival to come through.
  • Valuations of 34.7x FY21, while cheaper than peer average, offers limited upside on considering weaker than best of breed peer earnings visibility and less than peer ROCE levels (at least currently). Maintain Neutral.

 

Piping hot news

India may trade places with US to ship items to China

  • India has identified 151 products that it can export to China instead of the US and benefit from the price advantage thrown up by the retaliatory higher duties slapped by the Xi Jinping government on US products amid the intensifying trade war between the two countries. These include diesel engines, X-ray tubes, antibiotics, copper ores, granite, xylene, inverter and ketones, said people with knowledge of the matter.
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