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MOSL: Morning India (17/November/17): 1. India Strategy (2QFY18 Earnings Review)- 2. Aditya Birla Capital (Perfect blend of growth and quality)- 3. Staffing (SU)- 4. Solar Industries

​MOrning India (17/November/17): 1. India Strategy (2QFY18 Earnings Review); 2. Aditya Birla Capital (Perfect blend of growth and quality); 3. Staffing (SU); 4. Solar Industries

Today’s top research theme

India Strategy - 2QFY18 Earnings Review: A breath of fresh air

  • 2QFY18 exhibited improving internals in the broader earnings mix, with more hits than misses. Re-stocking post GST rollout, retention of input tax credits and the early onset of the festive season this year v/s CY16 supported a few B2C sectors, while many corporates sounded optimistic about rural consumption revival, going ahead.
  • Nifty earnings grew in double-digits for the first time after six quarters. For Nifty (Ex-OMCs), earnings growth of 10.5% was the highest in 13 quarters.
  • Global Cyclicals drove the quarterly performance, led by Metals and Tata Motors. Defensives posted the fourth consecutive quarter of earnings decline, dragged by Healthcare.
  • Within Domestic Cyclicals, Autos, Cement and Capital Goods posted better-than-expected EBITDA and PAT growth.
  • Earnings downgrade/upgrade ratio improved significantly QoQ, but remained skewed marginally in favor of downgrades. The upgrade/downgrade ratio improved from 0.46x to 0.84x.
  • We marginally cut Nifty EPS by 1.2% for FY18E (INR481), but raise by 1% for FY19E (INR609).


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Motilal Oswal

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