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Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (18/September/17)-1. Hindalco 2. Glenmark Pharma (ART) 3. Technology 4. EcoScope

​MOrning India (18/September/17): 1. Hindalco; 2. Glenmark Pharma (ART); 3. Technology; 4. EcoScope

Today’s top research idea

  • Hindalco Industries: De-risked businesses delivering strong free cash flows
  • Hindalco’s business is robust and de-risked. Novelis and copper segments operate on conversion model, with LME being a pass-through.
  • These two businesses account for more than 60% of EBITDA, and provide steady cash flows and support balance sheet. Aluminum smelting is a high margin business; volatility is correlated to metal cycle.
  • There is merit in hedging aluminum production, as it helps tide over volatility in LME and provides net gains because forwards curves have always been in contango.
  • We remain bullish on the stock due to (a) strong business fundamentals, (b) free cash flow generation, and (c) the managements’ focus on deleveraging, high IRR projects, and attractively-valued inorganic opportunities. We re-iterate BUY, with a target price of INR310/share

Piping hot news

BPCL eyes government stake in GAIL India for Rs18,000-20,000 crore

  • ​State-run Bharat Petroleum Corp. Ltd (BPCL) is in talks with the country’s largest natural gas transporter GAIL (India) Ltd to acquire the government’s majority stake in it for Rs18,000-20,000 crore.


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