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MOSL: Morning India (19/September/19): Telecom (a. TRAI floats consultation paper to revise ‘zero MTC’ implementation date; b. Subscriber consolidation evident)

MOrning India (19/September/19): Telecom (a. TRAI floats consultation paper to revise ‘zero MTC’ implementation date; b. Subscriber consolidation evident)

 Today’s top research idea

Telecom: TRAI floats consultation paper to revise 'zero MTC' implementation date; A delay positive for Bharti/VIL, negative for RJio

  • In a complete u-turn from the Sep'17 order stating that the mobile termination charge (MTC) would be reduced to zero from the prevalent INR0.06/min, the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) has now floated a consultation paper raising questions whether the effective date of revision (Jan'20) should be postponed.
  • The telecom authority cited the lack of migration on 4G and the imbalance of off-net traffic between operators as reasons for reconsidering the applicable date.
  • Bharti/VIL stand to gain 4%/20% on 1QFY20 consol. EBITDA. On the other hand, RJio might see a 15% negative impact on EBITDA if the decision is deferred.

Piping hot news

Fed cuts target interest rate by 25 bps to a range of 1.75-2%, as expected

The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point for the second time this year on Wednesday in a widely expected move meant to sustain a decade-long economic expansion, but gave mixed signals about what may happen next. The central bank also widened the gap between the interest it pays banks on excess reserves and the top of its policy rate range, a step taken to smooth out problems in money markets that prompted a market intervention by the New York Fed this week.

 

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