​MOrning India (20/September/17): 1. Oil & Gas (OMCs finally on the yellow brick road); 2. Telecom; 3. Utilities; 4. Healthcare
Today’s top research theme
Oil & Gas: OMCs finally on the yellow brick road
With a clear indication from the ministry to not meddle in the pricing of auto fuels, the stage appears set for an increase in marketing margins, albeit small and gradual.
We also take a deep look at the more pressing issue recently for the three oil marketing companies (IOCL, BPCL and HPCL): high refining margins, which seem to have baffled quite a few. Our analysis suggests that with deregulation, the companies could focus more on their core performance, resulting in improved refining margins. Additionally, the threat of market share loss has not been significant, although it is an issue in the longer term.
We roll over partially to FY20 for arriving at September 2018 targets. We reiterate Buy on IOCL and HPCL, with targets of INR558 and INR583, respectively. We upgrade BPCL to Buy from Neutral, with a target of INR640.
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