Report
Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (21/December/17): 1. Larsen & Toubro; 2. Coal India; 3. Ajanta Pharma; 4. Technology

​MOrning India (21/December/17): 1. Larsen & Toubro; 2. Coal India; 3. Ajanta Pharma; 4. Technology

Today’s top research idea

  • L&T – Focus on complex jobs with high design content; Execution to improve as GST impact tapers off
  • Key highlights from our recent meeting with LT management:
  • LT is focused on orders with higher design element and more technical complexities, rather than the run-of-the-mill ‘road’ jobs, where competition is intense and margins are thin.
  • 1HFY18 saw large orders being delayed/deferred. Although some revival is expected in 3QFY18 (announced orders stand at INR240b till date v/s INR120-130b in 1Q/2QFY18), slippages may continue into FY19.
  • Exports: The GCC opportunity basket is down 40% YoY post the fall in oil prices over the past two years. The share of GCC is expected to contract for LT as well (~30% currently). LT is looking at Africa and SE Asia to diversify away from GCC.
  • Domestic execution: 2QFY18 execution was impacted by GST, as order books were renegotiated and invoicing was delayed. However, the impact is now tapering off; expect improved execution in 3Q/4QFY18.
  • Valuation: We maintain Buy with an SOTP-based TP of INR1, 440 (E&C business at 22x FY20E EPS, to which we add INR450 for subsidiaries).The stock trades at 20x/17x its standalone business (ex. subsidiaries) v/s its historical average of 22x.

Piping hot news

Mukesh’s Jio leads race to buy Anil’s RCom’s assets

  • RIL-owned Reliance Jio Infocomm has emerged the front-runner to acquire the assets of debt-ridden Reliance Communications (RCom). RCom has put its spectrum, towers and fibre on the block. If the company’s asset monetisation plans fructify, it would be worth a total of ₹35,000 crore.


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Motilal Oswal
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