Report
Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (22/August/17): 1. NTPC 2. Infosys 3. Marico (Corner Office) 4. MindTree Consulting 5. Gateway Distriparks

​MOrning India (22/August/17): 1. NTPC; 2. Infosys; 3. Marico (Corner Office); 4. MindTree Consulting; 5. Gateway Distriparks

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Today’s top research idea

  • NTPC: Kudgi and Solapur projects on track; Earnings growth to accelerate; valuations attractive
  • NTPC has strong pipeline of CoDs. There is good visibility of 3.7GW of organic and 1GW of inorganic growth at NTPCsa. This will add INR81b or 18.4% to regulated equity in FY18.
  • In addition, 445MW will be added to commercial capacity of JVs in FY18. The visibility of CoDs for FY19 too is improving, with expected commissioning of 2.65GW in FY18. We expect regulated equity to grow at ~20% CAGR and consolidated PAT to grow at 12% CAGR over FY17-20. Capitalization would start to outpace capex, boosting RoE and driving stock re-rating.
  • The stock trades at 1.3x FY19E BV. We value the stock at INR204/share even after factoring 150bp regulatory risk to RoE from FY20 in our DCF model. Buy.

Piping hot news

ONGC board approves HPCL takeover

The board of state-owned Oil and Natural Gas Corp today gave 'in-principle' approval to acquire government's 51.11 per cent stake in Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd, the company said in a regulatory filing.


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