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Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (22/September/17): 1. United Breweries- 2. India Strategy (Sectoral weights in Nifty)- 3. Financial Deep Dive- 4. Room Air Conditioners

​MOrning India (22/September/17): 1. United Breweries; 2. India Strategy (Sectoral weights in Nifty); 3. Financial Deep Dive; 4. Room Air Conditioners

Today’s top research theme

United Breweries: Clouds of gloom appear to be dispersing; cheers to growth; Upgrading to Buy

  • ​For United Breweries (UBBL), we are upgrading our rating to Buy, as:
  • The impact of the highway alcohol sale ban, GST, and liquor prohibition in a few states has been nowhere as bad as feared. Demand outlook too appears to be turning favorable.
  • Key alcohol-consuming states like Karnataka, Telangana and Andhra Pradesh had the benefit of extended deadline for highway liquor ban beyond 1st April.
  • The GST impact on margins was expected to be ~200bp in FY18. Encouragingly, it is now likely to be less than half of that.
  • Meanwhile, UBBL’s stock price has been range-bound in the recent past, despite the alcohol industry recovering from a spate of bad news. This, along with the promising long-term prospects, makes the stock an attractive investment proposition, in our view.

Piping hot news

Govt looking at ₹50,000 crore growth stimulus

  • ​India's government is considering a plan to loosen its fiscal deficit target to enable it to spend up to 500 billion rupees ($7.7 billion) more to halt an economic slowdown, two government officials with direct knowledge of the plan said on Thursday.


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Motilal Oswal
Motilal Oswal

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