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Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (23/April/18): 1. HDFC Bank; 2. Maruti Suzuki (More of the same); 3. Healthcare; 4. EcoScope; 5. Indiabulls Hous.; 6. Mahindra CIE; 7. Phoenix Mills

MOrning India (23/April/18): 1. HDFC Bank; 2. Maruti Suzuki (More of the same); 3. Healthcare; 4. EcoScope; 5. Indiabulls Hous.; 6. Mahindra CIE; 7. Phoenix Mills

 Today’s top research idea

Maruti Suzuki – More of the same: increasing share, margins & growth; Upgrade cycle to continue led by higher volumes and margins

  • MSIL would be the biggest beneficiary of rural market recovery and first time buyers coming back as reflected in Alto sales growing 5.6% in FY18.
  • MSIL is targeting ~4k sales outlets (~12.8% CAGR in FY18-20E), alongwith focus on upgrading entire network to improve customer experience.
  • Further timely capacity addition to ensure CAGR of 13% in FY18-20 in volumes. Mar-18 annualized production stood at 2.07m units, with additional ~250k units capacity coming up by Jan-19 (~60k for 4QFY19).
  • MSIL's EBIT margin to improve by 220bp to ~14.3% in FY20 due to (a) continued mix improvement, (b) discount reduction, (c) lower royalty, (d) ramp-up at Gujarat plant, and (e) benefits of operating leverage. Maintain Buy.

Piping hot news

Economic recovery on firm footing: RBI governor Urjit Patel

  • India is witnessing a revival in investment activity after several quarters of downturn, putting the nation's economic recovery on a surer footing, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Urjit Patel said at the International Monetary and Financial Committee meeting in Washington DC.
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