Report
Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (31/May/17)-1. Auto Sales Estimates; 2. M&M; 3. Hindalco Inds.; 4. United Spirits; 5. Power Grid; 6. BPCL; 7. Britannia Inds.

​MOrning India (31/May/17): 1. Auto Sales Estimates; 2. M&M; 3. Hindalco Inds.; 4. United Spirits; 5. Power Grid; 6. BPCL; 7. Britannia Inds.; 8. Aurobindo Pharma; 9. Oil India; 10. Ramco Cement

Today’s top research idea

Hindalco Inds: Copper business drives strong performance; Net debt to EBITDA at ~3x, deleveraging remains focus; Reiterate Buy

-Hindalco’s (HNDL) Net Debt to EBITDA has declined from ~5x in FY16 to ~3x in FY17. Supportive LME, improving mix at Novelis, favorable cost positioning and minimal sustenance capex will drive strong FCF generation and further deleveraging.

-HNDL has a strong business model with full integration from mining to high end value added aluminum products for automobiles and beverage cans. Most (~75%) of USD2b operating EBITDA comes from conversion businesses (Novelis, Copper TcRc) and special grade alumina. Relative cost positioning of primarily aluminum business has improved (11th percentile) on improving integrated supply and coal availability. The outlook on LME is better as China implements stricter environment norms. We value HNDL at 6.5x FY18E EV/EBITDA at INR250/sh (at LME of USD1,750/t and USDINR68.3). Buy.


Piping hot news

Cadila Healthcare plans to raise Rs1,000 crore via QIP

Drug maker Cadila Healthcare Ltd is in talks to raise around Rs1,000 crore through a qualified institutional placement (QIP) of shares, three people aware of the development said.

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