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Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (3/January/18)-1. Titan Industries; 2. Sustainability Meter; 3. Bulls & Bears; 4. Automobiles; 5. Capital Goods

​MOrning India (3/January/18): 1. Titan Industries; 2. Sustainability Meter; 3. Bulls & Bears; 4. Automobiles; 5. Capital Goods

Today’s top research idea

Titan Industries: Healthy jewellery retail growth led by festive demand

  • Jewellery division witnessed a good festive season, with retail sales growing in double-digits. If not for PMLA, then growth would have been even better, despite a high base. However, suspension of PMLA in early Oct'17 helped boost sales further over the rest of the festive season.
  • TTAN mentioned that Jewellery retail growth in 3QFY18 was healthy and met management's internal expectations. We, however, note that primary growth for 3QFY18 was lower due to upstocking by franchisees in 2QFY18 (to the extent of INR2.5b due to early onset of festive season and as PMLA was effective last quarter). Market share gain for Jewellery continued in 3QFY18.
  • Recent aggression to capitalize on opportunities across divisions is heartening. Earnings CAGR is likely to be a massive 36% over FY17-20. The sheer scale of top-line opportunity demands premium valuations. We thus maintain Buy with revised a TP of INR975 (valued at 49x Dec'19E EPS).

Piping hot news

Rupee climbs to fresh 2-1/2 year high on sliding dollar

  • The rupee shot up to end at a nearly 2-1/2 year high of 63.48, surging by 20 paise against the US dollar as the bullish momentum continued strongly for the fourth-straight day driven by upbeat hopes on macro front. 


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