Report
Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (4/September/17)-1. Vedanta (Zinc day - production to grow after a hiatus of 6 years) 2. Dr Reddy's (Suboxone litigation in favor of DRRD US FDA approval key) 3. Grasim Industries

​MOrning India (4/September/17): 1. Vedanta (Zinc day - production to grow after a hiatus of 6 years); 2. Dr Reddy's (Suboxone litigation in favor of DRRD; US FDA approval key); 3. Grasim Industries (Aditya Birla Capital lists at a significant premium); 4. Economy (Economic activity remained subdued in July 2017); 5. Automobiles (August 2017 volumes)

Today’s top research idea

Vedanta: Zinc day - production to grow after a hiatus of 6 years

We attended VEDL’s Zinc Day and came back more confident on its production growth plans at Hindustan Zinc (HZL) and Zinc international (ZI). Zinc-lead mine production will grow after a hiatus of six years. Production at HZL will increase 27% and at ZI by 135% by FY20E.

Strong-term outlook for Zinc LME has also turned bullish. Aluminum prices are also trading stronger on supply-side measures by China. We have raised consolidated EBITDA estimates by 8/12% to INR162/171b for FY19E/FY20E.

Strong commodity prices and sweating of assets would drive an attributable consolidated EBITDA growth CAGR of ~20% and PAT CAGR of ~41% over FY17-20E.

The target price is revised to INR361/share (from INR316 earlier). Maintain Buy. 

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Motilal Oswal
Motilal Oswal

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