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Swarnendu Bhushan
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MOSL: OIL & GAS: Glut in refining suppresses GRMs

Oil & Gas: Glut in refining suppresses GRMs

 

  • Singapore (SG) GRM shot up during 2QFY20 due to rise in petrol and FO cracks (), averaging USD6.3/bbl for the quarter. Continued demand weakness combined with normalization of FO supply resulted in SG GRM declining to USD4.1/bbl and USD1.7/bbl in Oct'19 and Nov'19 YTD, respectively, from USD7.6/bbl in Sep'19.
  • We estimate that a total of 2.6mnbopd of refining capacity came online in 2019 against incremental demand of 0.8mnbopd (revised down from 1.1mnbopd at the start of the year).
  • In absence of global recovery, we anticipate that GRMs would remain suppressed for few more months in lieu of incremental refining capacity addition.
Provider
Motilal Oswal
Motilal Oswal

​Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. is a reputed name in Financial Services and Online Trading with group companies providing services such as Private Wealth Management, Retail Broking and Distribution, Institutional Broking, Asset Management, Investment Banking, Private Equity, Commodity Broking, Currency Broking, Principal Strategies & Home Finance. 

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Analysts
Swarnendu Bhushan

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