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MOSL: POWER & COAL MONTHLY-Modest improvement in demand

POWER & COAL MONTHLY: Modest improvement in demand

Conventional generation up ~2% YoY
** Conventional electricity generation increased 2% YoY in Jan’20. This comes on the back of four straight months of a YoY decline. YTD growth remains muted at 0.1% YoY. Demand was driven by states within the southern region (Telangana: +20% YoY; Karnataka: +8% YoY). Coal-based generation increased ~1% YoY, while Hydro and Nuclear generation was up ~17% and ~8% YoY, respectively.

Overall generation up ~3% YoY
** Total generation rose moderately by 2.5% YoY with RE generation increasing 9.5% YoY. This was led by a sharp rise in solar generation (+28% YoY).

Coal stocks rise to 19 days
** Coal India production increased ~10% YoY in Jan’20. This, along with muted power demand, has led to an improvement in coal stocks to 19 days of consumption at end-Jan’20 (v/s 12 days a year back).

IEX volumes increase
** DAM volumes on IEX increased 46% YoY. On a YTD basis, though, DAM volumes on the IEX are ~7% lower. Prices declined 2% MoM to INR2.86/kWh.

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Motilal Oswal
Motilal Oswal

​Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. is a reputed name in Financial Services and Online Trading with group companies providing services such as Private Wealth Management, Retail Broking and Distribution, Institutional Broking, Asset Management, Investment Banking, Private Equity, Commodity Broking, Currency Broking, Principal Strategies & Home Finance. 

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