MOSL: Phoenix Mills (Buy)-Transient moderation in consumption
Phoenix Mills: Transient moderation in consumption
(PHNX IN, Mkt Cap USD1.4b, CMP INR619, TP INR785, 27% Upside, Buy)
- Kessaku revenue recognition drives outperformance: Revenue grew 66% YoY to INR7,232m (our estimate: INR4,839m) in 4QFY19, driven by revenue recognition of INR3,170m in Kessaku, Bengaluru. EBITDA increased 74% YoY to INR3,771m (our estimate: INR2,419m), with the margin expanding 260bp YoY to 52% (our estimate: 50%). Adj. PAT grew over 100% YoY to INR1,879m, higher than our estimate of INR655m, led by profits from kessaku recognition. For FY19, revenue grew 22% to INR19.8b, EBITDA increased 28% to INR9.9b and PAT was up 97% to INR4.7b.
- Retail – transient moderation in consumption: Consumption increased 6% YoY to INR16,265m in the quarter. Rental income rose 9% YoY to INR2,499m, while EBITDA increased strongly by 24% YoY to INR2,375m. Consumption growth moderated at HSP (-1% YoY) on account of (a) infrastructure upgrades (metro construction) in the neighborhood causing visitor inconvenience, (b) two key tenants (PVR, lifestyle) undertaking refurbishment work and (c) tenant churn resulting in sluggish growth, temporarily hurting footfall.
The Phoenix Mills Limited is an India-based company engaged in the construction of buildings carried out on own-account basis or on a fee or contract basis. The Company is engaged in the development and operation of malls and other real estate properties. It operates through twos segments: Property & Related Services, and Hospitality Services. It specializes in the ownership, management and development of retail-led mixed use properties that include shopping, entertainment, commercial, residential and hospitality assets, aggregating approximately 17.5 million square feet over 100 acres. Its core business includes Retail, Hospitality, Commercial and Residential. Under the Retail segment, it operates seven malls in six cities. Under Commercial and Hospitality segments, it operates five commercial centers in two cities and two completed hotel projects. The upscale mall houses various international brands, such as Gucci, Jimmy Choo, Bottega Veneta and Ermenegildo Zegna, among others.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. is a reputed name in Financial Services and Online Trading with group companies providing services such as Private Wealth Management, Retail Broking and Distribution, Institutional Broking, Asset Management, Investment Banking, Private Equity, Commodity Broking, Currency Broking, Principal Strategies & Home Finance.
Motilal Oswal Securities is a group company of Motilal Oswal Financial Service Limited which started as a stock trading company and has blossomed into well diversified firm offering a range of financial products and services. Motilal Oswal has built a reputation as the source for best stock trading company and this has taken a wealth of experience, knowledge and expertise, constantly working in tandem, over the years.
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