Report

MOSL: TATA POWER (Sell)-Net Debt to Equity increases to ~3.5x-Lack of RoE accretive growth and high leverage

​TATA POWER: Net Debt to Equity increases to ~3.5x; Lack of RoE accretive growth and high leverage; Maintain Sell

(TPWR IN, Mkt Cap USD3.4b, CMP INR84, TP INR67, 20% Downside, Sell)

  • ​Tata Power’s (TPWR) 4QFY17 PAT, adjusted for the write-off of INR6.5b relating to advance paid to DOCOMO for TTSL, was down 36% QoQ to INR3.9b (est. INR5.4b) on lower billing in Delhi distribution and higher interest cost. EBITDA (incl. JVs) was down 11% QoQ to INR19.6b. For FY17, EBITDA (inc. JVs) was up 2% YoY to INR78b, while adj. PAT was up 83% YoY to INR13.9b on lower tax. Net Debt at INR482b (incl. perpetual securities of INR15b), represented debt/equity ratio of 3.5x (excl. perpetual securities which is reported as part of net worth).
  • Standalone: EBIT (incl. rate regulatory items), adj. for the provision of INR0.3b for Trombay U-6 plant, was flat YoY due to stricter regulatory norms and lower regulatory assets. The management highlighted the risk of Trombay generation PPAs expiring in March 2018; clarity is likely in the next couple of quarters.
  • CGPL & Coal: Under-recovery increased from INR0.7/kWh in 3QFY17 to INR0.86/kWh in 4QFY17. PAT loss was however lower (INR1.4b vs. INR2.4b in 3Q) on FX reversal and lower interest cost (on waiver by parent). Coal mines EBITDA was up 29% QoQ to INR5.7b (ex-Arutmin) on higher coal prices.
  • Sale of non-core investments: The management assured progress on sale of non-core investments in FY18. Stake in Tata Sons is not considered as non-core. 


Underlying
Tata Power Company Limited

Tata Power is an integrated power utility based in India. Co. has an installed generation capacity of 8,584 MW in India and a presence in all the segments of the power sector viz. Fuel and Logistics, Generation (thermal, hydro, solar and wind), Transmission, Distribution and Trading. Co. maintains public-private partnerships in Generation, Transmission and Distribution in India. Co. is also active in renewable energy in India and has developed and fully commissioned a 4,000 MW Ultra Mega Power Project at Mundra (Gujarat) based on super-critical technology. Co.'s international presence includes strategic investments in Indonesia, Singapore, South Africa, Australia and Bhutan.

Provider
Motilal Oswal
Motilal Oswal

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