Tata Steel: Strong operating performance, yet PAT declines on M&A; Focus still on gaining market share rather than shareholder value
(TATA IN, Mkt Cap USD9.3b, CMP INR569, TP INR632, 11% Upside, Neutral)
Tata Steel's (TATA) 1QFY19 consol. EBITDA came in flat QoQ at INR65b, broadly in line with our estimate. Standalone (S/A) EBITDA increased 5% QoQ to INR50.8b (INR17,077 per ton), despite a 2% decline in sales due to restocking of supply chain. TSE (Europe) EBITDA grew strongly by 44% QoQ to INR16.7b (USD105/t), despite a 4% decline in sales tonnage. Bhushan Steel's underlying EBITDA stood at ~INR8b for the quarter, but it contributed only INR660m to TATA's EBITDA due to acquisition-related fair value accounting impact and consolidation w.e.f. 18th May 2018. Other subsidiaries together contributed INR6.5b loss due to the forex translation impact in the raw material supply chain entities. Adj. PAT declined 30% QoQ to INR23b due to higher interest and depreciation on partial consolidation of Bhushan Steel.
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