We break down our universe of 31 names into our best long and short ideas for new money now. We provide a brief thesis on each one, including summary analysis of ROIC trends, earnings revisions, and valuation. We also discuss our process and performance of recent ideas as well as recent stock performance and correlations to earnings revisions. Names discussed include BOOT, DLTR, SFM, TXRH, TGT, CBRL, CHUY, CMG, DOL-TSE, BJRI, FIVE, EAT, SBUX, WMT, YUMC, HABT, CAKE, SHAK, ULTA and others.
BJ's Restaurants operates in the casual dining segment of the restaurant industry. The company's restaurants feature a number of menu offerings including: slow roasted entrees, such as, prime rib; EnLIGHTened Entrees? such as its Cherry Chipotle Glazed Salmon; its deep-dish pizza; the Pizookie? dessert; and its BJ's proprietary craft beers. The company owns and operates restaurants located in various states, and its proprietary craft beer is produced at various locations, its Temple, TX brewpub locations and by independent third party brewers using its proprietary recipes. The company also produces its proprietary non-alcoholic craft sodas including root beer, ginger beer, cream, orange and black cherry soda.
Boot Barn Holdings is a retail chain focused on western and work-related footwear, apparel and accessories. The company's stores, which are freestanding or located in strip centers, feature an assortment of brands and styles, coupled with store associates. The company's product offering is anchored by a selection of western and work boots and an assortment of coordinating apparel and accessories. The company also carries assortments of denim, western shirts, cowboy hats, belts and belt buckles, western-style jewelry and accessories. The company's work assortment includes footwear, outerwear, overalls, denim and shirts for the physically demanding jobs.
Brinker International is engaged in owning, developing, operating and franchising the Chili's? Grill & Bar (Chili's) and Maggiano's Little Italy? (Maggiano's) restaurant brands. Chili's operates in the bar and grill category of casual dining. Chili's menu includes burgers, fajitas, baby back ribs and margaritas. Chili's To Go menu is available online, by calling the restaurant, or through its mobile app. Maggiano's is a casual restaurant brand providing Italian-American cuisine. Dishes are served in both a la carte and family style. The company provides a range of lunch and dinner options, complimented by a wine list and cocktails.
The Cheesecake Factory operates casual dining restaurants. The company operates Company-owned restaurants under: The Cheesecake Factory?, which provides menu including appetizers, pizza, seafood, steaks, chicken, burgers, small plates, pastas, salads, sandwiches and omelettes, and gluten-free items; Grand Lux Cafe?, which provides American dishes and international favorites, including appetizers, pasta, seafood, steaks, chicken, burgers, salads, and desserts; and RockSugar Southeast Asian Kitchen?, which showcases the cuisines of Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia and India. The company also produces desserts for its restaurants, international licensees and third-party bakery customers.
Chipotle Mexican Grill together with its subsidiaries operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants, which feature a menu of burritos, burrito bowls (a burrito without the tortilla), tacos, and salads. The company operates Chipotle restaurants throughout the United States, international Chipotle restaurants, and non-Chipotle restaurants. The company uses various herbs, spices and seasonings to prepare its meats and vegetables. The company also serves tortilla chips that seasoned with lime juice and salt, with sides of hand mashed guacamole, salsas, or queso. In addition to sodas, fruit and tea drinks, and organic milk, most of the company's restaurants also provide a selection of beer and margaritas.
Chuy's Holdings is a restaurant concept that provides Mexican and Tex Mex inspired food. The company provides the same menu during lunch and dinner, which includes enchiladas, fajitas, rellenos, tacos, burritos, combination platters and daily specials, complemented by a variety of appetizers, soups and salads. Each of the company's restaurants also provide a variety of sauces, including the Hatch Green Chile, Boom-Boom and Creamy Jalapeno sauces. The company also provides a bar in all of its restaurants providing its customers a variety of beverage offerings, featuring a selection of cocktails including its on-the-rocks margaritas made with lime juice and the King's Punch, a rum cocktail.
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is principally engaged in the operation and development of the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store? concept. The format of the company's stores consists of a trademarked rustic old country-store design providing a restaurant menu that features home-style country food and a variety of items such as rocking chairs, holiday and seasonal gifts, toys, apparel, cookware and foods. The company's restaurants serve breakfast, lunch and dinner daily. Lunch and dinner items include southern fried chicken, chicken and dumplings, chicken fried chicken, meatloaf, country fried steak, pork chops, fish, steak, roast beef, vegetable plates, sandwiches and a variety of salads.
Dollar Tree is an operator of discount variety stores. The company's stores operate under the names of Dollar Tree, Family Dollar and Dollar Tree Canada. The company's segments are: Dollar Tree, which is the operator of discount variety stores providing merchandise at the fixed price point of $1.00; and Family Dollar, which operates general merchandise discount retail stores. The merchandise mix in the company's Dollar Tree stores consists of consumable merchandise, variety merchandise, and seasonal goods. The merchandise mix in the company's Family Dollar stores consists of consumable merchandise, home products, apparel and accessories merchandise, and seasonal and electronics merchandise.
Five Below is a retailer providing a range of merchandise targeted at the tween and teen demographic. The company provides an assortment of products, all priced at $5 and below, including select brands and licensed merchandise across eight worlds: Style, Room, Sports, Tech, Create, Party, Candy and Now. The company operates in states that include Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, West Virginia, North Carolina, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Ohio, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, Georgia, Texas, Tennessee, Maine, Alabama, Kentucky, Kansas, Florida, South Carolina, Mississippi, Louisiana, Wisconsin, Oklahoma, Minnesota, California and Arkansas.
Shake Shack is a roadside burger stand serving an American menu of burgers, hot dogs, crispy chicken, frozen custard, crinkle cut fries, shakes, beer, wine and others. The company operates and licenses Shake Shack restaurants. The company's menu include: Burgers & Chicken, which includes the SmokeShack?, 'Shroom Burger? (Co.'s vegetarian burger), Shack Stack? and Hamburger, as well as Chick'n Shack?; Crinkle Cut Fries, which are made from Yukon potatoes; Hot Dogs, which includes beef hot dogs and chicken dogs; Frozen Custard, which is made from vanilla and chocolate recipes and milk; Beer, Wine and Beverages, which provides local craft beers; and Dogs Are Welcome Too, which provides dog biscuits.
Sprouts Farmers Market operates as a healthy grocery store. The company categorizes the varieties of products it sells as perishable and non-perishable. Perishable product categories include produce, meat, seafood, deli, bakery, floral and dairy and dairy alternatives. Non-perishable product categories include grocery, vitamins and supplements, bulk items, frozen foods, beer and wine, and natural health and body care. The company's stores include the following departments: packaged groceries, meat and seafood, deli, vitamins and supplements, dairy and dairy alternatives, bulk items, baked goods, frozen foods, natural health and body care, and beer and wine.
Starbucks is a roaster, marketer and retailer of coffee. The company's segments are: Americas, which is inclusive of the United States, Canada, and Latin America; International, which is inclusive of China, Japan, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East, and Africa; and Channel Development. The company's Americas and International segments include both company-operated and licensed stores. The company's Channel Development segment includes roasted whole bean and ground coffees, Seattle's Best Coffee?, Starbucks- and Teavana-branded single-serve products, a variety of ready-to-drink beverages, and other products sold worldwide outside of the company's company-operated and licensed stores.
Target provides its customers everyday essentials and merchandise. The company sells an assortment of general merchandise and food. The majority of the company's general merchandise stores provide an edited food assortment, including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items. The company's small format stores provide curated general merchandise and food assortments. The company's digital channels include merchandise assortment, including various items found in its stores, along with a complementary assortment. The company also sells merchandise through periodic design and partnerships. The company's owned brands merchandise include: A New Day?, Archer Farms?, Art Class?, Ava & Viv?, Cat & Jack?, and Cloud Island?, among others.
Texas Roadhouse is a restaurant company operating predominately in the casual dining segment. The company operates Texas Roadhouse restaurants and Bubba's 33 restaurants. In addition, the company operates restaurants outside of the casual dining segment. The Texas Roadhouse restaurants provide an assortment of steaks hand-cut on the premises and cooked to order over open grills. In addition to steaks, the company also provides its guests a selection of ribs, seafood, chicken, pork chops, pulled pork and vegetable plates, hamburgers, salads and sandwiches. Bubba's 33 is a sports restaurant. The company's menu features burgers, pizza and wings as well as a variety of appetizers, sandwiches and dinner entrees.
Habit Restaurants is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a casual restaurant concept that focuses on preparing made-to-order char-grilled burgers and sandwiches featuring tri-tip steak, grilled chicken and tuna cooked over an open flame. The company also prepares made-to-order salads and a selection of sides, shakes and malts. The company's burger selection ranges from its Charburger including a choice of mayonnaise, pickles, tomato, lettuce and caramelized onions served on a toasted bun, to its Santa Barbara style Charburger including all the fixings of the Charburger plus cheese and avocado served on grilled sourdough.
Ulta Beauty is a beauty retailer that provides cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. The company's stores are primarily located in locations such as power centers. The company provides a range of services in all of its stores. The company's stores, website, and mobile applications provides more than 25,000 products from approximately 500 beauty brands across all categories and price points, including its own private label, the Ulta Beauty Collection. The company provides a portfolio across five primary categories: cosmetics; skincare, bath and fragrance; haircare products and styling tools; salon services; and other, which includes nail products and accessories.
Walmart is engaged in global operations of retail, wholesale and other units, as well as eCommerce, located throughout the U.S., Africa, Argentina, Canada, Central America, Chile, China, India, Japan, Mexico and the U.K. The company's operations are conducted in three reportable segments: Walmart U.S., which is a mass merchandiser of consumer products, operating under the Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands, as well as walmart.com, jet.com and other eCommerce brands; Walmart International, which includes various formats divided into retail, wholesale and other categories; and Sam's Club, which is a membership-only warehouse club that also operates samsclub.com.
Yum China Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a restaurant company in the People's Republic of China (China). The company's restaurant base consists of restaurant concepts, including KFC, Pizza Hut brands, as well as brands such as East Dawning, Little Sheep, Taco Bell and COFFii & JOY. The company has the right to operate and sublicense the KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell brands in China (excluding Hong Kong, Taiwan and Macau), and own the intellectual property of the East Dawning, Little Sheep and COFFii & JOY concepts outright. Most restaurants in the KFC, Pizza Hut, East Dawning, Taco Bell and COFFii & JOY concepts provide delivery service.
Quo Vadis Capital, Inc. is a Registered Investment Advisor, independent equity research boutique and financial and strategic consultancy. Our focus is on the U.S. consumer market with a specialization in the retail and restaurant sectors. Quo Vadis provides an investment edge for professional investors using a proprietary forecasting tool that identifies and quantifies near- and long-term upside or downside potential to consensus estimates. Quo Vadis is based in Paris, France.
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