TSCO: Analysis of New Store Performance & Implications for ROIC
We analyzed recent performance and long-term trends of Tractor Supply. Our work includes a breakout of new and total company ROIC and an estimate for rents at new and the average store. Further, we estimate sales productivity of the recently-acquired Petsense. Lastly, we quantify the divergence in our earnings forecasts and consensus estimates and discuss valuation.
Tractor Supply is a rural lifestyle retailer. The company is focused on supplying the needs of recreational farmers, ranchers and all those who enjoy living the rural lifestyle, as well as tradesmen and small businesses. The company operates retail stores under the names Tractor Supply Company, Del's Feed & Farm Supply, and Petsense and operates websites under the names TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com. The company's selection of merchandise is comprised of the following main product categories: equine, livestock, pet, and small animal products; hardware, truck, towing, and tool products; seasonal products; work/recreational clothing and footwear; and maintenance products for agricultural and rural use.
Quo Vadis Capital, Inc. is a Registered Investment Advisor, independent equity research boutique and financial and strategic consultancy. Our focus is on the U.S. consumer market with a specialization in the retail and restaurant sectors. Quo Vadis provides an investment edge for professional investors using a proprietary forecasting tool that identifies and quantifies near- and long-term upside or downside potential to consensus estimates. Quo Vadis is based in Paris, France.
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