Report

Alrosa 3Q 20 Earnings Preview - Diamond market turned alive in August September

Top line: In August and September, global diamond pipeline finally turned alive. As a result, Alrosas rough diamond sales volume stood at 5.0 mct in 3Q 20e (+691% qoq). At the same time, the 3Q 20e sales volume was 21% lower yoy, being essentially delivered by two out of three months in the quarter as sales stood frozen in July. It is worth mentioning that despite a 10% like-for-like price cut delivered by Alrosa and De Beers in 3Q 20e, average realised price was only 6% lower qoq, thanks to a higher-than-ever 82% share of expensive gem-quality diamonds in the firms sales mix. Over 1H 20, the latter stood at 74%, which is pretty close to a historic average. Importantly, due to the price-over-volume strategy, the 3Q 20e diamond price was 17% higher yoy. We also expect a ca. 28% qoq hike in non-diamond revenue on a stronger economic activity in 3Q 20e.
Underlying
ALROSA PJSC

AK Alrosa PAO. AK Alrosa PAO (Aktsionernaya kompaniya ALROSA PAO or ALROSA Company PJSC), formerly AK Alrosa OAO, is a Russia-based company which is principally engaged in the exploration, mining, manufacture and sales of diamonds. Its operations include five Integrated Mining and Processing Complexes: Mirny, Udachny, Aikhal, Anabar and Nyurba located in the Sakha Republic; sorting divisions and diamond cutting and polishing division. The Company is a member of variable diamonds associations. It operates through several representative offices, branches and subsidiaries, including Alrosa-Nyurba OAO, Almazy Anabara OAO and Severalmaz OAO.

Provider
Raiffeisen Bank International AG - Institutional Equity
Raiffeisen Bank International AG - Institutional Equity

The Institutional Equity Research team of Raiffeisen Bank International AG covers 85 stocks from Austria, Central & Eastern Europe with sell-side research and thus levers our local broker status with excellent company relationships. For corporates in Austria, CEE and Western Europe, we offer co-sponsored research, which includes research coverage and marketing activities to investors. Additionally, through our Spotlight Research product we also shed light on leading European small and micro-caps, seeking greater visibility with investors.

The Institutional Equity Research team consists of roughly 15 analysts, both in Vienna and the CEE countries. Our analysts provide long-standing sector expertise in tandem with profound local market know how and a sectoral approach across the entire region.

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