CE Utilities Sector Update - Protected by hedging, but not invulnerable
Utilities should be more resilient towards an economic downturn following the coronavirus-driven lockdowns: Generation companies in Central Europe have hedged at least 80% of their 2020e sales by now and utilities' other operations are largely regulated, which means that any volume-related decline in earnings should be compensated for in two years' time by local regulators. However, some exposure to short-term price weakness remains, foremost for Verbund, and power price curves have shifted downwards, as industrial output is forecast to recover more slowly than it fell, energy commodities such as gas and coal are equally down on their own oversupply issues and only CO2 emission allowances follow equity market trends, despite fundamentals telling a different story.CEZ Group is a dynamic, integrated electricity conglomerate based in the Czech Republic and with operations in a number of countries of Central and Southeastern Europe and Turkey. Co. is an international group consisting of nearly 120 companies, Czech and foreign. Co.'s primary activities involve the production and transmission of electricity through nuclear, coal-fired and hydro power stations; production and distribution of heat and processing of secondary products generated during the production of electricity and heat as well as coal mining. Co. has operating companies in Poland, Bulgaria, Romania, the Netherlands, Ireland, Germany, Hungary, Albania, Turkey, Serbia, and Slovakia.
EVN is an energy and environmental services provider. Co.'s segments include: generation, which is engaged in electricity generation; energy trade and supply, which is engaged in the procurement of electricity; network infrastructure Austria, which is engaged in the operation of regional electricity and natural gas networks; energy supply South East Europe, which is engaged in operation of electricity networks and electricity, and energy trading; environmental services segment, which is engaged in among others, drinking water supply, as well as international project business; and strategic investments and other business segment, which is engaged in strategic and other investments.
Verbund is a public utility company engaged in the generation and transmission of electricity from subsidiaries' hydro and thermal power stations located throughout Austria. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is involved in the planning and construction of water systems, hydroelectric power plants, river structures, sewage disposal systems, and high voltage transmission towers and lines. Co. generates, trades and sells electrical energy to power exchange buyers, traders, energy supply companies and industrial companies as well as households and commercial customers.
The Institutional Equity Research team of Raiffeisen Bank International AG covers 85 stocks from Austria, Central & Eastern Europe with sell-side research and thus levers our local broker status with excellent company relationships. For corporates in Austria, CEE and Western Europe, we offer co-sponsored research, which includes research coverage and marketing activities to investors. Additionally, through our Spotlight Research product we also shed light on leading European small and micro-caps, seeking greater visibility with investors.
The Institutional Equity Research team consists of roughly 15 analysts, both in Vienna and the CEE countries. Our analysts provide long-standing sector expertise in tandem with profound local market know how and a sectoral approach across the entire region.
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