Report

MOL cut to HOLD, TP HUF 3,000 - Stronger headwinds obscuring the short-term outlook

Near-term earnings generation negatively impacted by the hike of the windfall tax in HU and uncertainties around crude oil supply from Russia
Normalisation of petchem margins coupled with higher working capital needs should weigh on FCF generation in H2 22e and 2023e
Significantly lower yoy earnings projected for 2023e might be a reason for not paying any special dividends next year
Underlying
MOL Hungarian Oil & Gas Plc Class A

Magyar Olaj-Es Gazipari is an integrated oil and gas enterprise based in Hungary and active in central and eastern Europe. Co.'s core activities include: exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas and gas products; refining, transportation, storage and distribution of crude oil products in both retail and wholesale markets; importation, transportation, storage and wholesale trading of natural gas and other gas products; and the production and sale of olefins and polyolefins. TVK, the petrochemical affiliate of Co., is an olefin and polyolefin producer in Hungary.

Provider
Raiffeisen Bank International AG - Institutional Equity
Raiffeisen Bank International AG - Institutional Equity

The Institutional Equity Research team of Raiffeisen Bank International AG covers 85 stocks from Austria, Central & Eastern Europe with sell-side research and thus levers our local broker status with excellent company relationships. For corporates in Austria, CEE and Western Europe, we offer co-sponsored research, which includes research coverage and marketing activities to investors. Additionally, through our Spotlight Research product we also shed light on leading European small and micro-caps, seeking greater visibility with investors.

The Institutional Equity Research team consists of roughly 15 analysts, both in Vienna and the CEE countries. Our analysts provide long-standing sector expertise in tandem with profound local market know how and a sectoral approach across the entire region.

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