Report

Polyus cut to HOLD, TP RUB 15,100 - Risk of a lower gold price to offset the output recovery

 US monetary policy is likely to start tightening from Q1 2023e
 Input gold price trimmed to USD 1,800/oz from USD 1,950/oz
 Limited production growth of 4% in 2022e and 3% in 2023e
 Inflated costs and sizeable capex are expected from 2021e
 Flat top line and EBITDA in 2021-22e, FCF limited by capex
 Modest DY of 4.1% is to be declared for 2021e and 2022e
Underlying
Polyus (GDR)

Provider
Raiffeisen Bank International AG - Institutional Equity
Raiffeisen Bank International AG - Institutional Equity

The Institutional Equity Research team of Raiffeisen Bank International AG covers 85 stocks from Austria, Central & Eastern Europe with sell-side research and thus levers our local broker status with excellent company relationships. For corporates in Austria, CEE and Western Europe, we offer co-sponsored research, which includes research coverage and marketing activities to investors. Additionally, through our Spotlight Research product we also shed light on leading European small and micro-caps, seeking greater visibility with investors.

The Institutional Equity Research team consists of roughly 15 analysts, both in Vienna and the CEE countries. Our analysts provide long-standing sector expertise in tandem with profound local market know how and a sectoral approach across the entire region.

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