Report
Alexander Korda
EUR 442.45 For Business Accounts Only

Potential Shake-Up at Top-Four Agribusiness Player is One to Watch

A series of poor earnings, the abrupt retirement of chief trader Brian Thomsen, and unsuccessful takeover approaches in the past have all prompted a strategic review (announced in October 2018) at Bunge Ltd (BG), one of the top four players in the agribusiness and food industry. Other factors at play include the presence of activist investors Continental Grain Co. and DE Shaw, a new CEO and added directors, a string of insider purchases, and a potential separation on the table.

What's Interesting? The Edge Intelligence...
Following its October 2018 announcement of a strategic review, we examined Bunge Ltd (BG) for which of its five segments made the most sense for separation, and found there are several other elements to this situation, including:
CEO forced to step down;
Activist investors known for creating value;
Takeover target in the past;
"ABCD" peer currently mulling over a Spinoff;
Bioenergy Joint Venture with BP Plc in Brazil;
Strategic stake in Beyond Meat adding value to the bottom-line;
Insiders purchase shares post-earnings and ahead of an announcement;
Poor operating performance warrants a Spinoff or sale;

The Edge View...
Sugar exit will create value for core business: BG’s core segment Agribusiness (~70% of FY18’s revenues and ~65% of FY18’s EBITDA) has been performing well for BG, but poor performance by the Sugar division is putting pressure on BG’s overall bottom-line. By Spinning off the Sugar business, the additional resources generated can be utilized by BG to concentrate on its core business. A hike in its dividend or a share buyback program can also be a rewarding possibility for investors.
Underlying
Bunge Limited

Provider
The Edge Group LLC
The Edge Group LLC

The Edge Group - Global Fundamental Catalyst Investing. The Edge provides investors with access to hidden corporate value from Global Special Situations using a pioneering approach to investments. Founded in 2005 by fund management and investment banking professionals to provide high quality, private equity-level research on Global Corporate Divestitures for the benefit of fundamental event-driven, growth and value-oriented investors in this difficult to track, but proven investment space.

The Edge will look to screen and analyze include Spinoffs; Reverse Morris Trusts; Squeeze Outs; Privatizations; Demutualization; Deep Discounted; Rights Issues; Rights Offering; Restructuring; Insider Purchases / Buying Change of Management / CEO Change; Deteriorating fundamentals; Post-Bankruptcy; Reorganization; Tender Offer; M&A Deals; Secondary Offering; Share Swap; Thrift Conversions; Share Buybacks; Activist; Mergers. All analyzed from a fundamental point of view.

 

 

Analysts
Alexander Korda

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