Report

The Market Today - 28 July 2017

FG proposes ₦7.939 trillion expenditure for 2018                                          

According to the 2018-2020 Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF), the Federal Government (FG) plans to spend ₦7.939 trillion in 2018. The fiscal plan also revealed projected revenue of ₦5.162 trillion, bringing expected deficit to ₦2.777 trillion. The MTEF also includes an oil price benchmark of $45.00/bbl (2017: $44.50/bbl) and production benchmark of 2.3 mbpd (2017: 2.2 mbpd). On another note, the Senate approved a $1.8 billion borrowing plan for the Lagos – Kano railway modernization project and the reconstruction and rehabilitation of the North East. The railway project is to be funded by China Export-Import Bank to the sum of $1.231 billion, while the North-East rehabilitation is to be funded by the World Bank in the sum of $575 million. Also, the house approved $750 million loan for six states out of the $1.49 billion for ten states.

NSE continues to soar, ASI up 137bps                                       

Amidst a flurry of corporate releases, activity heightened on the Nigerian stock exchange yesterday (market value at highest in thirty-seven sessions) with the ASI garnering 137bps on continued bids for Consumer and Banking blue chips.

Stock Watch: FBNH released its H1’17 results yesterday with PAT down 18% y/y to ₦29.5 billion but 10% above Vetiva estimate. Advancing 153bps yesterday, the stock has returned 78% ytd – closing at ₦5.97.         

Sentiment cools in T-bills market amidst further mop-ups                                      

Amidst maturities of ₦85 billion yesterday, the CBN conducted another OMO auction offering ₦110 billion and selling a total of ₦128 billion across the 189DTM and 364DTM bills at respective stop rates of 17.945% and 18.550% (effective yields: 19.78% and 22.46%). The T-bills market turned mixed amidst the sizeable and consistent liquidity mop-ups over the course of the week. Trading was also mixed in the bond space. We expect continued mixed trading in the fixed income markets tomorrow as liquidity remains strained, amidst the CBN’s continuous mop-ups.                                                         

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