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Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Triple Point Energy Transition - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on ABC Arbitrage (ABCA), paragon (PGN), Foresight Solar Fund (FSFL), Kendrion (KENDR), Lithium Power International (LPI), Triple Point Energy Transition (TENT), 4iG (4IG), e-therapeutics (ETX), Pharnext (ALPHA) and Shield Therapeutics (STX). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our web...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Foresight Solar Fund - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on ABC Arbitrage (ABCA), paragon (PGN), Foresight Solar Fund (FSFL), Kendrion (KENDR), Lithium Power International (LPI), Triple Point Energy Transition (TENT), 4iG (4IG), e-therapeutics (ETX), Pharnext (ALPHA) and Shield Therapeutics (STX). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our web...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

HydrogenOne Capital Growth - Hydrogen options maturing

HydrogenOne (HGEN) holds a distinctive and concentrated portfolio of assets across the entire hydrogen value chain (95% private, 2% public). In its FY23 results, its NAV and NAV per share increased 6% y-o-y to £132.7m and 103p, respectively. Total revenue from its portfolio companies grew 125% y-o-y to £74m. Throughout FY23 the fund continued with follow-on investments, totalling £10.6m. It had a cash position of £4.6m at end-FY23 and an additional £2.3m in listed hydrogen companies. The fund cu...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Tetragon Financial Group - FY23 growth driven by idiosyncratic factors

Tetragon Financial Group (Tetragon) posted a 6.4% net asset value (NAV) per share total return (TR) in US dollar terms in FY23. Tetragon’s returns normally have a low correlation with broader markets, and therefore its FY23 performance was below the 26.3% return of the S&P 500 Index, which rallied on the artificial intelligence (AI) theme. Tetragon’s FY23 return on equity (RoE) of 5.5% was below its target of 10–15% pa. That said, its performance since listing was within the target range at 11.3...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

abrdn Asian Income Fund - All looking good in terms of income and grow...

abrdn Asian Income Fund (AAIF) recently posted an upbeat set of results. In FY23, the company outperformed its reference index (MSCI AC Asia Pacific ex Japan), there was a significant increase in the dividend, which was fully covered and has now risen for 15 consecutive years, and AAIF’s board has negotiated a more competitive fee structure. AAIF is managed by abrdn’s well-established Singapore-based Asian equity team. This location is an advantage in terms of communication and developing strong...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Murray Income Trust - Delivering income and capital growth

Murray Income Trust (MUT) invests in high-quality, mainly UK-listed stocks. It has achieved both its dividend and capital growth objectives over the long term. The trust boasts 50 years of continually rising dividends. It paid a dividend of 37.5p per share in FY23 (ended 30 June 2023 (FY22: 36.0p)), and the board has indicated the dividend will rise to at least 38.0p in FY24. This represents a prospective yield of 4.5%. Late last year the company decided to take action to allow shareholders to a...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

VietNam Holding - Introducing redeemable shares

VietNam Holding (VNH) posted a solid net asset value (NAV) per share total return (TR) in 2023 of 15.8% (22.4% in US dollar terms), outperforming the Vietnam All Share index (VNAS), which posted an 11.7% return, and its direct peers. The investment manager remains confident that 2024 will be strong for Vietnamese equities, underpinned by average 20% y-o-y expected earnings per share (EPS) growth. VNH recently introduced a share redemption facility (on top of regular share buybacks), which allows...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Lowland Investment Company - Is the tide turning?

Lowland Investment Company’s (LWI’s) unconstrained, multi-cap investment policy differentiates it from most peers in the AIC UK Equity Income sector. It offers investors broad market exposure, outside of the large, traditional ‘income stocks’ at a 13% discount to NAV. The underperformance of small- and mid-cap companies versus larger peers has slowed and a turnaround would be very positive for LWI. Portfolio returns are already benefiting from acquisition activity, spurred by low valuations, and...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Seraphim Space Investment Trust - Several key holdings funded to break...

Seraphim Space Investment Trust (SSIT) reported a modest 1.8% NAV total return (TR) in H124, as the positive impact from up rounds (most notably D-Orbit’s) was partly offset by downward fair value adjustments of some other holdings due to technical setbacks or operational underperformance. However, we note that fund-raising across the spacetech sector remained robust in CY23. Moreover, 82% of SSIT’s portfolio has a robust cash runway, with 60% fully funded based on the projections of its managem...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Utilico Emerging Markets Trust - Quality of UEM’s assets is underappre...

Utilico Emerging Markets Trust’s (UEM’s) manager Charles Jillings, at specialist investor ICM, is very excited about the prospects for the trust’s investee companies. He believes that investors underappreciate the quality of these businesses and the teams that manage them. Jillings travels extensively, along with deputy portfolio managers Jacqueline Broers and Jonathan Groocock, meeting with current portfolio and other firms and relevant organisations in emerging markets. They report first hand ...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Premier Miton Global Renewables Trust - Deep dive on developers

The energy developers segment of Premier Miton Global Renewables Trust’s (PMGR’s) holdings accounts for 30.2% of its portfolio (at 29 February 2024). These developers can generate significantly higher returns than other sections of the portfolio (eg yield plays and investment trusts) due to higher initial capital investment and development risk. PMGR’s portfolio remains a diversified approach to renewable energy asset investing, with a mix across technologies, geographies and corporate structure...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Ocean Wilsons Holdings - Strong FY23 results with strategic review in ...

Ocean Wilsons Holdings’ (OCN’s) FY23 results highlight a robust performance from the Brazilian subsidiary Wilson Sons, as well as growth from the investment portfolio. Our forecasts are under review following the announcement but, prior to this, we valued OCN at 2,564p/share, which implies it is currently trading at a 48% discount. Given the strong trading and optimistic outlook, risks appear to be to the upside.

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Henderson EuroTrust - Proposed merger with Henderson European Focus Tr...

On 14 March, the boards of Henderson European Focus Trust (HEFT) and Henderson EuroTrust (HNE) announced the proposed merger of the two companies to form Henderson European Trust. The resulting enlarged fund will be managed by Janus Henderson Investors’ (JHI’s) European equities team. There will be two co-managers, Tom O’Hara (currently co-lead manager of HEFT) and Jamie Ross (currently lead manager of HNE). While each co-manager has their own expertise, they share a fundamental investment philo...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

HgT - Strong earnings growth and realisations in FY23

HgCapital Trust (HgT) posted an 11.1% NAV total return in FY23 (based on final audited numbers), which allowed it to sustain strong five- and 10-year returns of 20.4% and 18.4% pa, respectively. This has been mostly driven by robust earnings momentum across its portfolio. HgT defied the tough private equity exit environment, generating £345.9m of total realisation proceeds excluding carried interest in FY23. Moreover, it has a healthy commitment coverage ratio of 73% (based on current pro forma ...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Round Hill Music Royalty Fund - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on Round Hill Music Royalty Fund (RHM). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our website.

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Murray International Trust - Business as usual ahead of manager’s reti...

Murray International Trust’s (MYI’s) managers are transitioning smoothly from a team of three to two, ahead of Bruce Stout’s retirement at the end of June 2024. The two remaining managers, Martin Connaghan and Samantha Fitzpatrick, have worked closely with Stout since 2001, so MYI’s shareholders can have confidence that it will be ‘business as usual’ in H224 and beyond. Regardless of the market environment, the managers strive to fulfil their objectives of generating income and capital growth hi...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

The Biotech Growth Trust - Onwards and upwards for performance recover...

The Biotech Growth Trust’s (BIOG’s) two co-managers, Geoff Hsu and Josh Golomb, at global healthcare specialist OrbiMed, believe that now could be an opportune time to consider the biotech sector as it is recovering from the longest and largest absolute and relative drawdown since 2006. The sector was negatively affected by sharply rising interest rates rather than a deterioration in industry fundamentals; indeed, the managers continue to refer to a ‘golden era’ of innovation within the biotech ...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

Foresight Solar Fund - Optimising capital allocation

Foresight Solar Fund (FSFL) celebrated its 10-year anniversary of listing on the London Stock Exchange with decade-high cash distributions from assets of £120.4m in its FY23 results (year end 31 December). FY23 also saw FSFL’s divestment programme come to fruition with the sale of a 50% stake in its Spanish Lorca portfolio at a 21% premium to its holding value. The proceeds of this divestment, along with free cash, were used to pay down the fund’s variable rate debt via its revolving credit faci...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

BlackRock Latin American Inv. Trust - Worthy allocation as part of a g...

BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust’s (BRLA’s) lead manager Sam Vecht and deputy manager Christoph Brinkmann remain optimistic about the prospects for the region. Interest rates are coming down as Latin American central banks have been more proactive than those in developed markets in raising interest rates to combat higher inflation, which should be supportive for economic growth and asset prices. Latin America has remained relatively isolated from global geopolitical conflict, enabling t...

Pedro Fonseca
  • Pedro Fonseca

abrdn UK Smaller Companies Growth Trust - Relative performance getting...

abrdn UK Smaller Companies Growth Trust’s (AUSC’s) managers, Abby Glennie and Amanda Yeaman, are looking forward to further improvement in the trust’s relative performance, as investors’ focus is now more on company fundamentals rather than macroeconomic developments. The managers are continuing to use the Matrix, a proprietary screening tool, to search for companies exhibiting high-quality, growth and positive momentum features. Despite a difficult period of performance during 2022, when rising...

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