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Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/IBM, Cellnex, Proximus, Unibail and Gecina

Technology - IBM 1Q24 figures reasonable, but potential acquisition could worsen credit metrics

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill
Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Iberdrola, Enel, KPN, Heimstaden Bostad, a...

Utilities - Iberdrola: 1Q24 beats estimates. Enel misses carbon reduction target on SLB bonds

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill
Jeroen van den Broek ... (+2)
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Timothy Rahill

Bite Size Strategy/Weakness offers pickup in credit

There was weakness in credit markets early last week, with a weaker macro tone as spreads came off the tight levels and flows were negative with outflows of 0.1% of AuM. Supply was still active last week, with €6bn in corporate supply and €8bn in financial supply (€5.5bn in covered bonds and €2bn in bank senior bonds). Despite the weaker sentiment, new issues still saw strong demand and very low NIPs.

Nadège Tillier
  • Nadège Tillier
Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Akelius, Aroundtown, Covivio and Icade

Akelius 1Q24 results are solid with improved leverage. Aroundtown launches new exchange and tender options on hybrid notes. Covivio increases stake in Covivio Hotels. Icade 1Q Trading Update points to further uncertainty in 2024

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill
Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Prologis

Real Estate - Prologis: Robust Q1 results, softer 2024 guidance

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/ASML

Technology - ASML reports weak 1Q24 results

Jeroen van den Broek ... (+2)
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Timothy Rahill

Bite Size Strategy/Wait-and-see but still positive in credit

Spreads remained unchanged to a touch tighter on the week, with no major moves yet this morning following a week of two halves and a busy weekend in the geopolitical arena. Spreads were initially constructive last week but weakness set in later in the week following the higher than expected CPI print, resulting in an uptick in rates. There were also growing geopolitical concerns. Credit is now stable in a rather quiet market as we enter wait-and-see mode.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/EDP

Utilities: Fitch Ratings affirms EDP at BBB

Benjamin Schroeder ... (+5)
  • Benjamin Schroeder
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Sustainable Bond Supply/SSAs and Corporates take the lead in 1Q24

Sovereigns made for a strong start to Govie and SSA sustainable supply for 2024. Sustainable covered bond supply is ahead of last year while ESG issuance in non-covered financials fell short of last year in 1Q23. We expect banks to make a stronger shift back towards the unsecured segment for their ESG supply. The first quarter of 2024 marked a busy period for corporates ESG supply with the utilities sector leading issuance on the back of capex financing needs. With c.€39bn, corporates issuance a...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Aroundtown and Grand City

Real Estate: Aroundtown and Grand City announce hybrid exchange and tender results

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Enagas, EDF, German hydrogen

Utilities: Moody's puts Enagas outlook on stable. Germany to put a regulatory scheme for hydrogen in place. EDF: UK government considering private investors for Sizewell C

Jeroen van den Broek ... (+2)
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Timothy Rahill

Bite Size Strategy/Strong performance across credit

There was strong performance in credit last week on the back of strong economic data, a slowdown in primary market activity, continued inflows (0.2% of AuM inflowing) and a rise in yields due to a small sell-off in rates. Supply was only €5bn for corporates and €2.5bn for financials, leaving cash to be put to work in secondary. Corporates outperformed financials with 5-6bp tightening last week versus just 4bp on average for financials.

Nadège Tillier
  • Nadège Tillier

Fluvius/2023 results amid capex strain

Fluvius[de] published its 2023 annual report last week. The Belgian utility's indebtedness grew significantly last year with the issuance of new bonds on the institutional and retail markets for a total of €1,440m. Despite regulated remuneration enhanced by the inflation correction, Fluvius' operating income and funds from operations were negatively impacted by lower volumes. The company's credit metrics deteriorated in 2023, reaching the very bottom of Moody's requirements to maintain the A3 cr...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Vonovia, Vodafone and Telecom Italia

Telecom: Regulator refers Vodafone UK and Three UK merger case for in-depth probe. Telecom Italia may get paid a large claim after winning an appeals case

Oleksiy Soroka ... (+3)
  • Oleksiy Soroka
  • CFA
  • Timothy Rahill

High Yield Vision/Phantom Menace

March turned out to be a rather eventful month for the European high yield (EHY) market, with a strong performance in the first half of the period which was interrupted by the emergence of several potential restructuring situations.

Timothy Rahill
  • Timothy Rahill

US Dollar Credit Supply: Notable supply in 1Q24

Corporate supply came to US$80bn in March, lower than the significant €139bn of the previous month. It is also lower than the amounts seen in previous years (US$125-190bn), except for last year (US$68bn). Redemptions were relatively high in March at US$63bn, resulting in US$17bn net supply.

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