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Bert Colijn ... (+9)
  • Bert Colijn
  • Jakub Rybacki
  • Jakub Seidler
  • James Knightley
  • James Smith
  • Muhammet Mercan
  • Peter Virovacz
  • Prakash Sakpal
  • Valentin Tataru

Our view on next week's key events

Discover what ING analysts are looking for next week in our global economic calendars

James Knightley
  • James Knightley

US jobs: workers finally feeling it...

Payrolls growth is slowing but wages are picking up, which underlines the difficult decision facing the Federal Reserve. The risks from a deteriorating international backdrop and a manufacturing recession mean we still look for September and December rate cuts

Carsten Brzeski ... (+10)
  • Carsten Brzeski
  • Chris Turner
  • Iris Pang
  • James Knightley
  • James Smith
  • Mark Cliffe
  • Padhraic Garvey
  • CFA
  • Raoul Leering
  • Rob Carnell

September Economic Update: Getting real on “no deal”

The real-world impact of the failure of politicians to agree on cross-border ‘deals' is becoming obvious. Financial markets don't like it, and investors are shifting into safe havens. With business confidence sagging, pressure is on for politicians to get deals done. Read more in our latest economic update

Jakub Seidler
  • Jakub Seidler
Peter Virovacz
  • Peter Virovacz

Car manufacturing helps Hungary's industry to bounce back

Following the June summer holidays, Hungary's industrial sector returned to work in July with a performance not seen since early 2017

Muhammet Mercan
  • Muhammet Mercan

Turkish Central Bank: Ready to deliver more rate cuts

We expect the CBT to cut its policy rate by 175bp to 18% for the next MPC meeting on September 12 on the back of a faster than expected recovery in the inflation outlook and ongoing improvement trends in inflation expectations. The continuation of the easing cycle is also supported by improving external financial conditions

Ciprian Dascalu ... (+2)
  • Ciprian Dascalu
  • Valentin Tataru

Briefing Romania

Government bonds sold off

Iris Pang ... (+4)
  • Iris Pang
  • Nicky Mapa
  • Prakash Sakpal
  • Rob Carnell

Good MornING Asia - 6 September 2019

The US data downplaying a recession risk and reports of the US and China returning to the negotiation table in October renew risk appetite.

Ciprian Dascalu ... (+2)
  • Ciprian Dascalu
  • Valentin Tataru

Monitoring Croatia/A good year so far

The regaining of its investment grade status from S&P and Fitch, an almost done deal on ERM-II admission next year, still strong growth and targeted tax reforms have all contributed to make 2019 arguably the best post-crisis year for Croatia. Looking ahead, confidence is still running high among consumers and businesses but the external demand will remain a drag. Needless to say, 2019 was another banner year for the Croatian tourism sector.

James Knightley
  • James Knightley

US: It's not all bad…

Manufacturing may well be in a recession, but more domestic and consumer-orientated sectors are performing well. In such an environment the Federal Reserve will remain reluctant to deliver the scale of easing demanded by the President and priced by markets

Prakash Sakpal
  • Prakash Sakpal

Asia week ahead: Will Malaysia's central bank cut rates again?

There is plenty of economic data to keep markets busy next week. But the key highlight of the week will be Malaysia's central bank policy decision, which is too close to call

James Smith ... (+3)
  • James Smith
  • Petr Krpata
  • CFA

Brexit: Four thoughts after Westminster's wild Wednesday

A UK election now looks inevitable - the only question now is 'when'. However, the chances of a 'no deal' Brexit on 31 October appear to have receded, but there are still ways it could happen, and given the outcome of an election looks deeply uncertain, despite the Conservatives' lead in the polls, the rebound in sterling is unlikely to have legs

Jakub Seidler
  • Jakub Seidler

Czech Republic: Retail sales keep up the positive momentum

Czech retails sales accelerated to 7% YoY. However, this figure is flattered by a higher number of working days, so we can say that domestic retail sales are growing around 5% this year. That's a similar pace to the last two years and double what we see in the wider EU

Ciprian Dascalu ... (+2)
  • Ciprian Dascalu
  • Valentin Tataru
Iris Pang ... (+4)
  • Iris Pang
  • Nicky Mapa
  • Prakash Sakpal
  • Rob Carnell

Good MornING Asia - 5 September 2019

Markets seem happier. Equity futures are largely in the green today. Yet if this is a relief rally, it may prove all too short-lived

James Knightley
  • James Knightley

Bank of Canada's dovish shift

The Bank of Canada has left interest rates unchanged as widely expected, but the accompanying statement includes a dovish shift that reinforces our view that they are gearing up for a rate cut

James Knightley
  • James Knightley

US trade: a win for the President?

A strong US consumer and weak global growth means that the US trade deficit remains wide, but the fact that the US-China deficit is narrowing rapidly will boost President Trump's argument that being tough in negotiations yields results

Peter Virovacz
  • Peter Virovacz

Hungary: Retail sales strong again

Retail sales continue their rebound, posting their third-strongest annual growth number in July. Strong wage growth provides enough money to increase spending and saving at the same time

Bert Colijn
  • Bert Colijn

Eurozone: weak retail sales no cause for alarm

The service sector continues to be the last bastion of growth for the Eurozone economy, even though retail sales slipped in July. The services PMI was revised upwards for August as the consumption outlook remains decent

James Smith
  • James Smith

UK service sector slows further as Brexit uncertainty builds

With Brexit uncertainty causing investment to decline, service sector activity has slowed as new orders become scarce. A lot will hinge on the events today in Westminster, but the bottom line is that risk of a 'no deal' Brexit on 31 October is unlikely to fade completely after this week. This will continue to keep the pressure on underlying growth

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