From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how tariffs have dominated recent earnings calls over other topics such a
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the initial impact of tariffs on the US consumer and economy. Happy readi
Richemont enjoyed a fairly strong Q4 on the back of a 7% sales increase driven by Jewellery Maisons (+8%), highlighting that very exclusive brands such as Cartier and Van Cleef & Arpels outperformed the luxury market (as was the case for Hermès). H2 EBIT margin remained virtually unchanged. We
Q1 Ferragamo revenues were down 1% on an undemanding comparison basis (-15%), in line with market expectations. Nevertheless, the situation deteriorated in April with a negative trend. We remain cautious on the group's turnaround and expect no sales growth in 2025. We reiterate our Sell recommendat
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how increased consumer anxiety about tariffs leads to diverging trends be
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at fragile US consumer sentiment which might precede a sharp pullback in spe
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the largest beauty groups in the world. Happy reading!
Interparfums has reported 10.7% sales growth for Q1 (+8% at same FX). The fragrance market remained strong, including in the US. Since the beginning of April, momentum has been less dynamic and more volatile. Nevertheless, the group's management reiterated FY sales guidance (EUR930m to EUR935m). We
Kering Q1 sales declined 14% organically, worse than an already-cautious consensus (-12%), especially penalised by Gucci (-25%). We revise down our 2025-26 earnings by 15%, with 8% 2025 sales erosion and a 20% 2025 EBIT decline. We are far from a sales recovery at Kering and Gucci. Neutral recommen
L'Oréal Q1 sales were up 3.5% with 2.8% underlying growth (slightly above consensus at +1.1%), partly due to a demanding comparison basis (Q1 2024 sales up 9.4% and 8.1% adjusted) and also a slowing beauty market. We revise down our estimates by 3.5%, expecting FY25 sales to be up 4.5% vs +5% previ
Hermès Q1 sales were up 7.2% same-FX, almost in line with the consensus (+7.7%). We expect sales momentum to gradually rebound from Q2 given a less demanding comparison basis and more inventories in stores, especially for the leather goods division. We reiterate our Buy recommendation on Hermès, co
Beiersdorf Q1 sales were above consensus at the group level and in line for the Consumer division. More importantly, despite poor Q1 momentum, which was expected, the group's management has reiterated its 2025 guidance. We confirm our Neutral recommendation and our PT as we have made no change to o
Q1 sales momentum at LVMH was softer than anticipated with a 3% organic sales decline vs stable sales expected by the consensus. Q1 2025 faced a still-demanding comparison basis (+3% in Q1 2024 vs +1% over FY 2024). In view of the Q1 sales release, we revise our 2025-26 earnings downwards by 9% wit
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the correlation between robust financial markets and healthy US consumer
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the impacts of US tariffs and potential retaliation strategies by foreign
After a poor 2024 vintage, we expect a gradual recovery during 2025, which will nevertheless remain a soft year as we anticipate an average sales increase of just 4% for our luxury groups sample (+3% excluding Hermès). Q1 is set to be challenging with a 1% average sales decline (-2% excluding Hermès
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at accelerating trends in European corporate earnings relative to those in t
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how sub-sectors within our Consumer coverage have fared since the beginni
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how Trump's trade war is negatively impacting US consumer sentiment. Happ
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