reports
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Pemex seeks national partnerships to accelerate developments
In line with its earlier communication about Pemex looking for partners to re-start drilling activities and fight oil production decline, local news reports suggest that Pemex is seeking partnerships for 17 blocks (11 offshore and six onshore) to secure external capital. It is mostly considering local partners and intends to take the role as operator in most of the blocks. At first glance, the expected volume from the partnerships looks to be small, with only 66kbd to be added by year-end 2025. ...
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Deepwater fixture activity set to increase
After a slow start to the year for deepwater awards, we see long- and short-term jobs nearing rig selection. On the positive side, we believe the capital markets will appreciate increasing fixture activity and oil companies committing to long-term development jobs, supporting cycle duration. From a dayrate perspective, we see the bifurcation thesis unfolding, as some contractors are more focused on prioritising utilisation, also with counterparty, rig quality and region playing a role. Hence, as...
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
In a mid-cycle plateau
Following recent updates from E&P companies, we have reduced our 2025 offshore spending estimate to 0.5% (from c3% earlier this year). This is driven by a combination of actual 2024 spending being higher than expected (8% versus 4% previously), creating tougher comparables and a reduction in spending plans from Pemex in 2025. Despite growth flattening out, we still see the cycle building in duration, with execution of deepwater developments remaining on the agenda, albeit with a delayed executio...
SDRL SEADRILL LTD
ARCHERO ARCHER
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
BORR BORR DRILLING
SHLF SHELF DRILLING LTD.
VAL VALARIS LTD
NE NOBLE CORP NEW
OTL ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD
SDNS SHELF DRILLING NORTH SEA
DDRIL DOLPHIN DRILLING
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
VTURA VENTURA OFFSHORE
PLSV PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Petrobras claim to drilling contractors related to Sete project
Seadrill said on its earnings call that it recently had received a claim of USD213m from Petrobras related to its involvement in the Sete project in Brazil. Sete was launched in 2011, looking to build 29 deepwater rigs in Brazil, with involvement from several drilling contractors; Seadrill, Odfjell Drilling, Queiroz Galvao (now Constellation), Odebrecht (now Foresea), Petroserv (now Ventura Offshore) and Etesco. Seadrill said local and international peers have received similar claims. It further...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
PTC PTC INC.
PHM PULTEGROUP INC.
WMS ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS INC.
WING WINGSTOP INC.
TOL TOLL BROTHERS INC.
SPSC SPS COMMERCE INC.
RDNT RADNET INC.
PYPL PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC
NSY NICE SYSTEMS LTD (ADR)
MSI MOTOROLA SOLUTIONS INC.
MKSI MKS INSTRUMENTS INC.
KFY KORN FERRY
IT GARTNER INC.
IPGP IPG PHOTONICS CORPORATION
HUBB HUBBELL INCORPORATED CLASS B
ETN EATON CORP. PLC
CSL CARLISLE COMPANIES INCORPORATED
CDE COEUR MINING INC.
CAT CATERPILLAR INC.
MLM MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS INC.
MOG.A MOOG INC. CLASS A
AMWD AMERICAN WOODMARK CORPORATION
EXP EAGLE MATERIALS INC.
FBHS FORTUNE BRANDS HOME & SECURITY INC.
MBUU MALIBU BOATS INC. CLASS A
TREX TREX COMPANY INC.
PI IMPINJ INC.
NXE. NEXGEN ENERGY LTD
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AMKR AMKOR TECHNOLOGY INC.
NVT NVENT ELECTRIC PLC
A2H5RW ERO COPPER
BV BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS
KTB KONTOOR BRANDS
IR INGERSOLL RAND INC.
MARA MARATHON DIGITAL HOLDINGS INC
TT TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC
VAL VALARIS LTD
OLEM ONTO INNOVATION INC.
SDRL IPATH PURE BETA CRUDE OIL ETN
GMS SEADRILL LTD
NYE GENERAL MOTORS CORP NT 7/1/44
NYESA VALORES CORPORACION S.A.
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Update on Aramco and Pemex
In the jackup market, suspensions by Saudi Aramco and Pemex over the past 12 months have created continued uncertainty among investors. We see the overhang of 11 ex-Aramco premium jackups yet to be re-contracted extending through 2025. Looking ahead, we believe the worst is behind us, but we still see a risk of further reductions in Saudi Aramco’s rig count, possibly through additional suspensions of 2–5 rigs, while other rigs are set to be extended. In Mexico, uncertainty remains high, and it i...
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Brazilian regulators said to have suspended several drillships
News reports, as confirmed by Ventura Offshore, suggest the Brazilian regulator (ANP) has ordered the suspension of operations for certain rigs offshore Brazil, related to what appears to be safety issues. Unlike suspensions seen for jackups by Saudi Aramco and Pemex, these suspensions are not related to a lack of demand, but rather what appears to be safety procedures in the view of the regulator, which the news article highlights as “minor issues”. Hence, we expect no wider impact for the offs...
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