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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Semiconductors and Technology Leading the Way We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 5700-5785 (up from 5500). We continue to be buyers in the 5700-5785 range if it gets there, and we would also be buyers at 5804-5854 gap support. We are expecting all-time highs soon on the SPX. Technolo...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
 PRESS RELEASE

Transocean Ltd. Announces Exercise of $100 Million Option for Harsh En...

Transocean Ltd. Announces Exercise of $100 Million Option for Harsh Environment Semisubmersible STEINHAUSEN, Switzerland, June 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Transocean Ltd. (NYSE: RIG) (“Transocean”) today announced that a two-well option was exercised for the Transocean Spitsbergen in Norway. The program is expected to commence in the first quarter of 2026 in direct continuation of the rig’s current program and contribute approximately $100 million in backlog, excluding additional services. About Transocean Transocean is a leading international provider of offshore contract drilling ser...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Seadrill (Buy, TP: USD35.00) - Countdown to 2027

Despite a tough deepwater market, on our estimates, Seadrill is trading at a c4x EV/EBITDA for 2025–2026e, falling to 2.8x for 2027e (with our 2026–2027e EBITDA 21–23% below consensus). We see limited cash flow yield potential near-term, rising to c15% for 2027e. Tier-2 rig challenges have been a key investor concern, and while we model only a small contribution from these rigs (7–5% of our 2026–2027e EBITDA). We estimate c50% upside potential on asset values even in a scenario where we assign z...

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Valaris (Buy, TP: USD40.00) - 2027 confidence building

With ARO Drilling extensions and two West Africa jobs (DS-10 and DS-15), Valaris is progressing well in building visibility for 2027, the first year set to have proper earnings as 2025–2026e will likely be affected by rig market challenges and idle time. On top of the recently announced drillship jobs, Valaris seems well placed to build additional backlog in Nigeria and Egypt, for deepwater opportunities with startup in 2026/27. In sum, we believe its cash flow story remains on the horizon, whil...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
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