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ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Getting leaner and leaner

Soft top-line momentum continues. We extrapolate Q2 for 22% lower '24e adj. EBITA. We reiterate BUY and leave our SEK 22 TP unchanged.

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

More consolidation to lift margins

Q2 report due 18 July. We forecast SEK 2,855m net sales, SEK 122m adj. EBITA. We reiterate our BUY rating and SEK 22 TP.

ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

E-commerce traffic – May 2024

We have evaluated Similarweb data for May. Aggregated traffic to e-commerce sites up 1% y-o-y. We see signs that RVRC's 20/20 strategy is bearing fruit.

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

E-commerce traffic - April 2024

We have evaluated Similarweb data for April. Aggregated traffic to e-com sites up 4% y-o-y. Rugvista traffic growth continues, don't fear RVRC's -19% y-o-y.

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Racing a tough market (and winning?)

Continued market softness, Q1 org. growth -14% y-o-y. Significant 260bp EBITA margin improvement y-o-y. We reiterate BUY, covenant relief until '26 gives leverage headroom.

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
Benjamin Wahlstedt ... (+2)
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

BHG Group - Q3 report undramatic after trading update

Things will get worse before they get better Minor estimate changes on limited incremental info Trading at 10x-6x ‘23e-‘24e EV/EBITA, BUY, TP 20

Benjamin Wahlstedt ... (+2)
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

BHG Group - Limited incremental information

Trading update 11/10 means much was pre-reported Key takeaways: soft margin a result of a variety of factors We see no reason for a share reaction

Benjamin Wahlstedt ... (+2)
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

BHG Group - Market leaders cannot hide from headwinds

Q3 figures pre-reported as of 11 Oct Q3 sales were SEK 3,107m, adj. EBITA SEK 48m Confirms soft view, cash flow worse than feared

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