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Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Q3’22 announcement: Earnings scenario intact

AUM, MOIC & FTEs much in line with our expectations… …while AUM in BPEA was slightly higher Minor adj. EPS revisions for 2022-24e – HOLD

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Q3’22: Minor earnings revisions expected

AUM and headcount in line with our forecasts Gross MOIC slightly better than we thought in 2 funds Minor net earnings revisions for 2023-24e - NEUTRAL

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Q3 update could trigger cons. estimate cuts

Focus in the Q3 update on fund valuations & FTE outlook Earnings estimates down on lower carried interest We keep our HOLD rating

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Sector Fast Comment - Statistical update – US PE market in 9M’22

Strong investment activity in 9M’22… …while the exit activity is slowing Fundraising market holding up relatively well

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Closes EQT Growth at EUR 2.2bn - NEUTRAL

EQT Growth closes slightly above the target size Minor impact on earnings estimates We keep our HOLD rating

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Target size for Infra VI in line with expectations

The target size for EQT Infrastructure VI of EUR 20bn… …is largely in line with ABGSCe and Infront consensus The information should be neutral for the shares

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Sector Fast Comment - Statistical update – European PE market, H1’22

Resilient investment activity in H’1’22… …and decent exit activity A tougher fundraising market

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - H1’22: Better H1, but what about the outlook?

A positive deviation driven by income and costs Adjusted EPS down slightly for 2023-24e We keep our HOLD rating with a TP of SEK 245 (255)

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - H1’22: Stronger H1, but tough outlook for H2

Adj. EBITDA +35% vs. ABGSC and +11% vs. consensus Stronger income and lower expenses Minor est. revisions for 2022-24 unless activity picks up

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Sector Fast Comment - Statistical update – US PE market in H1’22

Decent investment activity in H1’22… …while the exit activity was low A crowded fundraising market

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Heads-up for H1’22, 14 July

EQT will report H1’22 on Thursday 14 July at 07.00 CEST. A conference call will follow at 08.30 CEST, dial in: , 04

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - H1’22e: Focus on the H2’22 outlook

Adjusted EPS down 2-4% for 2023e-24e Low deal activity worrisome for the H2 outlook We keep our HOLD rating with a TP of SEK 255 (315)

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Tougher markets – HOLD

Minor adj. EPS revisions for 2023-24… …despite the consolidation of BPEA from late 2022 We keep our HOLD rating with a target price of SEK 315

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Q1’22 announcement: Excessively hit

AUM in line and resilient portfolio valuations… …but low dealmaking value and higher n:o of FTEs Adj. EPS intact for 2023-24e – we keep our HOLD rating

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Q1’22: AUM in line, better MOIC & more FTEs

AUM as expected and better MOIC q-o-q… …but low dealmaking value and higher n:o of FTEs Low activity confirmed, but the stock is already down

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Q1’22 announcement – focus on valuation

The Q1 announcement with key operating numbers… …could indicate some depreciation in portfolio valuation Key focus around valuation and potential carry implication

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Sets hard cap for EQT X at EUR 21.5bn

Hard cap for EQT X set at EUR 21.5bn… …which is above the target fund size of EUR 20bn Positive – minor potential upside to estimates

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Reasonable market reaction in absolute terms

Transformative acquisition in Asia with good strategic fit Adjusted EPS indicatively up 11-12% for 2023-24e… …which is in line with yesterday’s share price reaction

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Transformative acquisition in Asia

The last larger strategic piece in puzzle Positive adjusted EPS effects in 2023-24… … in line with the share price reaction - HOLD

Derek Laliberté ... (+3)
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

EQT - Back to life, back to reality

Huge multiple contraction since November… …implies a more reasonable valuation Upgrade to HOLD (Sell) with a TP of SEK 325 (335)

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