L’année 2025 verra, selon nous, une poursuite de la croissance du CA (5% estimé vs 1.5% en 2024e) et de l’amélioration de la marge (53 pb vs 14 pb en 2024e), à l’exception possible de quelques sociétés (marge optimisée ou risque lié aux hausses des droits de douane). Si quelques thématiques devraient rester inchangées (exposition USA, Green Capex, datacenters, etc), d’autres émergeront (construction, discrete automation) ou accélèreront (semiconducteurs) au cours de l’année. Dans ce contexte, no...
2025 is in our view likely to see sales continue to grow (5% estimated vs 1.5% in 2024e) and margins continue to improve (53bp vs 14bp in 2024e), with the possible exception of a few companies (optimised margins or tariff risk). While some themes are likely to endure (US exposure, green capex, data centres, etc.), others will emerge (construction, discrete automation) or accelerate (semiconductors) over the year. In this context, our Top Picks are Alstom, Assa Abloy, Siemens and SKF. And we upgr...
We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...
We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...
>A host of factors behind the warning, some of them external - The group yesterday evening announced a downgrade to its 2024 guidance, citing a range of reasons, among them:The flooding that severely affected production, particularly the flooding in Valencia (30 subcontractors for the Valencia plant affected, difficulty accessing the plant for some employees), the flooding of the plant of a supplier aluminium profiles, Constellium, in the Valais area (stoppage fo...
>Une multitude de facteurs derrière le warning, certains exogènes - Le groupe a annoncé hier soir la révision en baisse de ses objectifs 2024, il met en avant une multitude de raisons, parmi lesquelles :Les intempéries qui ont fortement affecté la production, notamment les inondations à Valence (30 sous-traitants de l’usine de Valence touchés, accès à l’usine difficile pour certains salariés), l’inondation de l’usine du sous-traitant en aluminium Constellium dans...
Accounting for an average of 19% of revenues for European capital goods groups (over 40% in some cases), the US is clearly a central factor in growth strategies, both organically and inorganically. Based on our analysis of the programmes of the two candidates running for the White House and the positioning of the various groups, we have established two scenarios through which to play the sector depending on the winner in November's election. In this still uncertain US election co...
Représentant 19% en moyenne du CA des groupes de biens d’équipement européens (plus de 40% pour certains), les Etats-Unis sont inévitablement au cœur des stratégies de croissance, tant organique qu’externe. Après analyse des programmes des deux candidats à la Maison Blanche, croisée avec celle du positionnement des groupes, nous avons établi 2 scénarios permettant de se positionner en fonction du candidat qui sera élu en novembre. Dans ce contexte électoral américain encore incer...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.