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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 09/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK49 per share: ~12 mbbl/d in 1Q25. Re-iterating FY25 guidance – 1Q25 production was ~12 mbbl/d, including 6,841 bbl/d in Gabon, 3,661 bbl/d in Equatorial Guinea and 1,492 bbl/d in Tunisia. Production in Gabon and Equatorial Guinea was previously reported by BW Energy and Kosmos Energy. Equatorial Guinea output was temporarily impacted by unplanned downtime at the Ceiba Cluster, but operations ...

Aleksander Erstad
  • Aleksander Erstad

DOF Group (Buy, TP: NOK130.00) - In line ahead of Q1

We forecast Q1 EBITDA of USD148m, largely in line with consensus. While oil service macro is now more challenging, ongoing tenders with Petrobras have shown positive results, with eight DOF vessels awarded contracts to 2029–2030 and more likely to follow (all pending final approval). Also, recent second-hand transactions for subsea tonnage have been at elevated levels, and we view DOF’s valuation attractive at a P/NAV of 0.7x (before giving any value to the services business) and a 15% run-rate ...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder
Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Panoro Energy Minor model adjustments

We have updated our estimates, owing to the Q1 operations and trading update. We do not consider these changes to be material, and we have not changed our BUY recommendation. We reiterate our NOK38 target price.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Aker BP (Buy, TP: NOK280.00) - Well-supported dividends

Q1 results were in line with expectations. While near-term FCF could alarm investors, we believe dividends remain well-supported by the strong balance sheet. From 2027–2028e, FCF is set to rise meaningfully as production ramps up, with our estimates indicating an oil price of ~USD60/bbl would be sufficient to cover the dividend. We reiterate our BUY and NOK280 target price.

 PRESS RELEASE

International Petroleum Corporation Announces 2025 Annual General Meet...

International Petroleum Corporation Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting Voting Results International Petroleum Corporation (IPC or the Corporation) (TSX, Nasdaq Stockholm: IPCO) is pleased to announce the voting results from the Corporation’s 2025 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders held on May 7, 2025 in Calgary, Alberta. Number of Directors The number of Directors of the Corporation was set at eight. Votes For% ForVotes Against% Against62,055,81599.9810,8470.02 Election of Directors The eight nominees listed in the Corporation’s management information circular dated March 24, 2...

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Varying dividend sustainability

With oil prices approaching USD60/bbl, we believe investors will be looking for E&P exposure with the least risk of cuts to shareholder distributions. We continue to prefer Aker BP, as we consider its dividend safe despite prospects of muted near-term cash flow, and believe it has the most flexibility to adjust capex to protect cash flow and dividends medium-term.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): ~12 mbbl/d in 1Q25. Re-iterating FY25 gu...

• 1Q25 production was ~12 mbbl/d, including 6,841 bbl/d in Gabon, 3,661 bbl/d in Equatorial Guinea and 1,492 bbl/d in Tunisia. • Production in Gabon and Equatorial Guinea was previously reported by BW Energy and Kosmos Energy. Equatorial Guinea output was temporarily impacted by unplanned downtime at the Ceiba Cluster, but operations are now back online. We project ~3,800 bbl/d WI production in Equatorial Guinea over 2Q-4Q25. • Output in Tunisia has increased compared to 4Q24 (1,467 bbl/d) foll...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder
Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Oliver Dunvold
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