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Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

More Q1 results and a proposed delisting

The Q1 reporting season is in full swing, with results from Catena, Entra, Pandox and Wihlborgs in the past week. In addition, Aurora Eiendom announced a proposal to delist from Euronext Growth Oslo. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 5.00% for 2025e and 5.31% for 2026e.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, Equinor reported Q1 results in line with expectations. However, we continue to see valuation downside due to Empire Wind risks and a likely sharp YOY drop in 2026e buybacks. OKEA also reported in-line Q1 results. In other news, Equinor announced it agreed to sell its 60% Peregrino stake at a solid price, although we believe the proceeds would have to support near-term shareholder returns to drive a positive share price reaction.

 PRESS RELEASE

Genmab to Submit Supplemental Biologics License Application (sBLA) to ...

Genmab to Submit Supplemental Biologics License Application (sBLA) to U.S. Food and Drug Administration for Epcoritamab Plus Rituximab and Lenalidomide (R2) in Patients with Relapsed/Refractory Follicular Lymphoma (FL) Company Announcement Decision to submit based on a positive overall response rate (ORR) (p-value < 0.0001), one of the dual primary endpoints in the Phase 3 EPCORE® FL-1 trialFull results from the trial will be submitted for presentation at an upcoming medical conference in 2025 COPENHAGEN, Denmark; May 2, 2024 – (Nasdaq: GMAB) announced today its intention to submit in ...

Simen Aas
  • Simen Aas

Pareto Bank (Buy, TP: NOK84.00) - Solid start to the year

Helped by still-solid core revenues and firm cost efficiency, PARB reported a Q1 ROE of 13.5%, despite some provisions. With deposit volumes rising by ~8.1% QOQ, the bank somewhat increased its bond holdings in the quarter, resulting in a ~5bp lower CET1 ratio at quarter-end, offset by strong earnings generation. We have made only minor changes to our 2026–2027e EPS. With the stock trading at a 2026e P/E of ~8.0x, we still find the valuation attractive, and reiterate our BUY and NOK84 target pri...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

 PRESS RELEASE

Transactions in Connection with Share Buy-back Program

Transactions in Connection with Share Buy-back Program Company Announcement COPENHAGEN, Denmark; April 28, 2025 – Genmab A/S (Nasdaq: GMAB). On March 25, 2025, Genmab announced the initiation of a share buy-back program to repurchase up to 2.2 million shares to reduce capital and to honor our commitments under the Restricted Stock Unit program. The share buy-back program is expected to be completed no later than July 10, 2025. The following transactions were executed under the program from April 21 to April 25, 2025:  Trading PlatformNo. of sharesAverage price (DKK)Total value (DKK)Accumu...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Signs of sector recovery, and more Q1 results

The markets were much quieter following the Easter break, with limited news; however, the names we cover saw their shares up 2.6% on average, with Atrium Ljungberg (7.1%), SBB (7.1%) and Pandox (4.8%) the top performers. JM released its Q1 results and we reiterated our BUY, believing it has passed the earnings trough, while we reiterated our HOLDs on Corem and Fabege following their quarterly reports. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 5.04% for 2025e and 5.34%...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, Vår Energi reported Q1 results very much in line with expectations. The company also reaffirmed its 2025 guidance and maintained its dividend. Also, OKEA reported a solid Q1, with production and prices slightly above our estimates. While a technical goodwill impairment reduces its dividend basket for 2025, we view this as non-material, as we do not expect any dividends before 2027. Meanwhile, we are 5% below consensus on Q1e EBIT ahead of Equinor’s Q1 results on 30 April (07:00 CET), ...

Johannes Grunselius
  • Johannes Grunselius

UPM (Buy, TP: EUR36.00) - Solid entry points into quality

Following the solid Q1 report that was supported by the low-cost pulp operations in Uruguay, we have kept our optimistic 2025–2027e earnings, translating into highly attractive valuation multiples largely unchanged. With heavily reduced capex set for the coming years, we also still forecast strong cash flows, leaving the balance sheet overcapitalised. With this backdrop, we believe UPM will continue to pursue buybacks on top of compelling dividends in most feasible scenarios. We reiterate our BU...

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Martin Melbye

Atrium Ljungberg AB: 1 director

A director at Atrium Ljungberg AB bought 31,350 shares at 32.936SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 58/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Solid NCS production in March

The Norwegian Offshore Directorate’s (NOD) preliminary NCS figures for March showed liquids production of 1,972kboed (1.6% above its forecast) and gas production of 351mcm/d (0.4% above its forecast). Overall, production was 4.18mmboed (1.1% above its forecast), flat MOM, but down 4.9% YOY. Company-wise, the February production figures should be well known as most companies have already reported their production figures for Q1.

 PRESS RELEASE

Transactions in Connection with Share Buy-back Program

Transactions in Connection with Share Buy-back Program Company Announcement COPENHAGEN, Denmark; April 22, 2025 – Genmab A/S (Nasdaq: GMAB). On March 25, 2025, Genmab announced the initiation of a share buy-back program to repurchase up to 2.2 million shares to reduce capital and to honor our commitments under the Restricted Stock Unit program. The share buy-back program is expected to be completed no later than July 10, 2025. The following transactions were executed under the program from April 14 to April 18, 2025:  Trading PlatformNo. of sharesAverage price (DKK)Total value (DKK)Acc...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Chaima Ferrandon ... (+3)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Christian Arnold
  • Sven Edelfelt
AKRBF AKER BP ASA
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
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