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Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Yesenn El-Radhi

DBRS Morningstar Confirms the Kingdom of Belgium at AA, Stable Trend

Please refer to PDF document for more detail about our research: DBRS Morningstar Confirms the Kingdom of Belgium at AA, Stable Trend

Yesenn El-Radhi
  • Yesenn El-Radhi

Belgium, Kingdom of - Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessme...

Please refer to PDF document for more detail about our research: Belgium, Kingdom of - Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessments

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Yesenn El-Radhi

DBRS Morningstar Confirms the Kingdom of Belgium at AA, Stable Trend

DBRS Ratings GmbH (DBRS Morningstar) confirmed the Kingdom of Belgium’s Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency – Issuer Ratings at AA. At the same time, DBRS Morningstar confirmed Belgium’s Short-Term Foreign and Local Currency – Issuer Ratings at R-1 (high). The trend on all ratings is Stable.

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns: June 2023 Updat...

In this commentary we provide an update to DBRS Morningstar’s Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. Key highlights include: -- Economic data continues to show resilience amid tighter financial conditions. Forecasts for 2023 continue to improve, while expectations for 2024 are generally worsening as projected slowdowns are pushed further out into the future. -- While a mild advanced economy recession will likely have a limited impact on rated sovereigns, the risk of a deeper downturn in 2024 canno...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns: April 2023 Upda...

This commentary provides an update to DBRS Morningstar's Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. These baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. In this update, we discuss the deteriorating outlook for 2024. To date, we note that the March 2023 bank failures have had only a modest impact on forecasts. We continue to see considerable downside risks to the baseline. Key Highligh...

Adriana Alvarado ... (+3)
  • Adriana Alvarado
  • Julia Specht
  • Nichola James

Europe Macroeconomic Update: A Few More Rises in Interest Rates Amid I...

In this latest edition of the DBRS Morningstar Macroeconomic Update for Europe, we discuss how inflation persistence may prompt the European Central Bank and the Bank of England to raise interest rates further. Key Highlights EURO AREA • As interest rates increase, credit growth has started to slow. Energy prices have fallen but core inflation remains sticky, pointing to further monetary tightening in the coming months. • With the energy crisis fading and the labour market remaining strong, ...

Michael Heydt ... (+2)
  • Michael Heydt
  • Yesenn El-Radhi

DBRS Morningstar Confirms the Kingdom of Belgium at AA, Stable Trend

Please refer to PDF document for more detail about our research: DBRS Morningstar Confirms the Kingdom of Belgium at AA, Stable Trend

Michael Heydt ... (+2)
  • Michael Heydt
  • Yesenn El-Radhi

DBRS Morningstar Confirms the Kingdom of Belgium at AA, Stable Trend

DBRS Ratings GmbH (DBRS Morningstar) confirmed the Kingdom of Belgium’s Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency – Issuer Ratings at AA. At the same time, DBRS Morningstar confirmed the country’s Short-Term Foreign and Local Currency – Issuer Ratings at R-1 (high). The trend on all ratings is Stable.

Yesenn El-Radhi
  • Yesenn El-Radhi

Belgium, Kingdom of - Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessme...

Please refer to PDF document for more detail about our research: Belgium, Kingdom of - Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessments

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns: December 2022 U...

This commentary provides an update to DBRS Morningstar’s Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. These baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. In this update, we discuss the ongoing monetary tightening and bleak outlook for 2023. Key highlights include: -- Forecasts for 2023 have deteriorated in recent months. Growth will be very weak or negative for most major economies. -- ...

Arnaud Journois ... (+4)
  • Arnaud Journois
  • Carlo Capuano
  • Dimitra Louka
  • Elisabeth Rudman

Euro Area Consumers’ Resilience Tested by Higher Inflation and Rising ...

DBRS Morningstar has published a commentary analysing the financial position of households in the euro area and their degree of resilience in what is now a far more challenging environment. Key highlights include: • COVID-19 interrupted the consumer deleveraging trend in the euro area, which nevertheless started to revert in Q3 2020 as income growth rebounded. • Wages and salaries started growing again post-pandemic, but this will only partially offset inflationary pressures. • Whilst househ...

Adriana Alvarado ... (+3)
  • Adriana Alvarado
  • Nichola James
  • Spyridoula Tzima

Europe Macroeconomic Update: An Energy Crisis Afflicting European Econ...

In this latest edition of the DBRS Morningstar Macroeconomic Update for Europe, we discuss how the energy crisis is afflicting the euro area economies and the UK ahead of winter. Key Highlights EURO AREA • DBRS Morningstar expects slow growth in the EA in the near term, as economic activity is affected by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, especially through weaker confidence and higher inflation. Consumer confidence fell in March to its lowest level since May 2020, DBRS Morningstar expects growth ...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns: September 2022 ...

This commentary provides an update to DBRS Morningstar’s Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. These baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. In this update, we discuss the ongoing monetary tightening and growing risks of recession. Key Highlights • Baseline forecasts are becoming increasingly bearish, particularly the outlook for 2023. High inflation, energy and labor sho...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Yesenn El-Radhi

DBRS Morningstar Downgrades the Kingdom of Belgium to AA, Trend Change...

Please refer to PDF document for more detail about our research: DBRS Morningstar Downgrades the Kingdom of Belgium to AA, Trend Changed to Stable

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Yesenn El-Radhi

DBRS Morningstar Downgrades the Kingdom of Belgium to AA, Trend Change...

DBRS Ratings GmbH (DBRS Morningstar) downgraded the Kingdom of Belgium’s Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency – Issuer Ratings to AA from AA (high) and changed the trend to Stable from Negative. At the same time, DBRS Morningstar confirmed the country’s Short-Term Foreign and Local Currency – Issuer Ratings at R-1 (high) with Stable trend.

Yesenn El-Radhi
  • Yesenn El-Radhi

Belgium, Kingdom of - Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessme...

Please refer to PDF document for more detail about our research: Belgium, Kingdom of - Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessments

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated Sovereigns: June 2022 Updat...

This commentary provides an update to DBRS Morningstar’s Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. These baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. We also explore some noteworthy risks to the baseline scenarios, and briefly discuss some potential implications for credit ratings. Key highlights include: • 2022 growth projections have deteriorated in recent months, dri...

Adriana Alvarado ... (+3)
  • Adriana Alvarado
  • Nichola James
  • Spyridoula Tzima

Europe Macroeconomic Update: Conflict in Ukraine Worsens European Outl...

In this latest edition of the DBRS Morningstar Macroeconomic Update for Europe, we discuss how Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has worsened the economic outlook in Europe. Key highlights: EURO AREA -- DBRS Morningstar expects slow growth in the EA in the near term, as economic activity is affected by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, especially through weaker confidence and higher inflation. Consumer confidence fell in March to its lowest level since May 2020, likely reflecting concerns over the impa...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns March 2022 Updat...

DBRS Morningstar has released a commentary updating our Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns. These baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. We also explore some noteworthy risks to the baseline scenarios, and briefly discuss some potential implications for credit ratings. Key highlights include: • Baseline forecasts have deteriorated in rec...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated Sovereigns December 2021 Up...

This commentary provides an update to DBRS Morningstar’s Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. DBRS Morningstar's baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. We also explore some noteworthy risks to the baseline scenarios, and briefly discuss some potential implications for DBRS Morningstar's ratings. When our baseline scenarios were last published 3 months ago (September 8, 20...

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