View 
FILTERS (0)
* Not connected to ResearchPool

MORE FILTERS

  
reports
Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns: June 2023 Updat...

In this commentary we provide an update to DBRS Morningstar’s Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. Key highlights include: -- Economic data continues to show resilience amid tighter financial conditions. Forecasts for 2023 continue to improve, while expectations for 2024 are generally worsening as projected slowdowns are pushed further out into the future. -- While a mild advanced economy recession will likely have a limited impact on rated sovereigns, the risk of a deeper downturn in 2024 canno...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns: April 2023 Upda...

This commentary provides an update to DBRS Morningstar's Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. These baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. In this update, we discuss the deteriorating outlook for 2024. To date, we note that the March 2023 bank failures have had only a modest impact on forecasts. We continue to see considerable downside risks to the baseline. Key Highligh...

Rohini Malkani ... (+3)
  • Rohini Malkani
  • Thomas R. Torgerson
  • Vitaline Yeterian

Japan: Incoming BoJ Governor Faces A Delicate Balancing Act

DBRS Morningstar released a commentary titled “Japan: Incoming BoJ Governor Faces A Delicate Balancing Act.” A combination of ultraloose monetary policies and external shocks have finally resulted in above target inflation in Japan. It is unclear if these dynamics will be sustained. However, if inflation persists, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could be compelled to dial back its expansionary monetary policy stance. In such a scenario, incoming Governor Ueda will face a delicate balancing act when he ...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns: December 2022 U...

This commentary provides an update to DBRS Morningstar’s Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. These baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. In this update, we discuss the ongoing monetary tightening and bleak outlook for 2023. Key highlights include: -- Forecasts for 2023 have deteriorated in recent months. Growth will be very weak or negative for most major economies. -- ...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Rohini Malkani

DBRS Morningstar Confirms Japan at A (high), Stable Trend

Please refer to PDF document for more detail about our research: DBRS Morningstar Confirms Japan at A (high), Stable Trend

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Rohini Malkani

DBRS Morningstar Confirms Japan at A (high), Stable Trend

DBRS, Inc. (DBRS Morningstar) confirmed Japan’s Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency – Issuer Ratings at A (high). At the same time, DBRS Morningstar confirmed Japan’s Short-Term Foreign and Local Currency – Issuer Ratings at R-1 (middle). The trend on all ratings is Stable.

Rohini Malkani
  • Rohini Malkani

Japan - Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessments

Please refer to PDF document for more detail about our research: Japan - Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessments

Rohini Malkani ... (+2)
  • Rohini Malkani
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Japan's Proposed Pivot Back To Nuclear Energy Is Positive for Energy S...

Japan's energy policy is undergoing a shift in response to the sharp increase in global energy prices over past year. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, all G7 countries have committed to reduce their reliance on Russian energy by phasing out or banning imports of Russian sourced fuels. At present, Japan imports 90% of its energy requirements, with imports from Russia accounting for 10.2% of its coal imports, 8.7% of LNG, and 3.7% of petroleum gas. Japan was once a top producer and cons...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns: September 2022 ...

This commentary provides an update to DBRS Morningstar’s Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. These baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. In this update, we discuss the ongoing monetary tightening and growing risks of recession. Key Highlights • Baseline forecasts are becoming increasingly bearish, particularly the outlook for 2023. High inflation, energy and labor sho...

Rohini Malkani ... (+2)
  • Rohini Malkani
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Japan: BoJ Remains Accommodative As Growth and Inflation Remain Subpar

On July 21, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) held rates steady and maintained its policy stance on Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE) with Yield Curve Control (YCC). The policy appears appropriate given the demand deficiency and limited inflationary pressures Japan is currently experiencing. Nonetheless, the rising interest rate differential between the BoJ and other global central banks has caused the Japanese yen to weaken significantly to the lowest point in 25 years with the USD/JPY t...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated Sovereigns: June 2022 Updat...

This commentary provides an update to DBRS Morningstar’s Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. These baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. We also explore some noteworthy risks to the baseline scenarios, and briefly discuss some potential implications for credit ratings. Key highlights include: • 2022 growth projections have deteriorated in recent months, dri...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns March 2022 Updat...

DBRS Morningstar has released a commentary updating our Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated Sovereigns. These baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. We also explore some noteworthy risks to the baseline scenarios, and briefly discuss some potential implications for credit ratings. Key highlights include: • Baseline forecasts have deteriorated in rec...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated Sovereigns December 2021 Up...

This commentary provides an update to DBRS Morningstar’s Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios. DBRS Morningstar's baseline scenarios provide our estimate of the current market consensus, and are drawn from a simple median calculation across various external contributor forecasts. We also explore some noteworthy risks to the baseline scenarios, and briefly discuss some potential implications for DBRS Morningstar's ratings. When our baseline scenarios were last published 3 months ago (September 8, 20...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Rohini Malkani

DBRS Morningstar Confirms Japan at A (high), Stable Trend

Please refer to PDF document for more detail about our research: DBRS Morningstar Confirms Japan at A (high), Stable Trend

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Rohini Malkani

DBRS Morningstar Confirms Japan at A (high), Stable Trend

DBRS, Inc. (DBRS Morningstar) confirmed Japan’s Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency – Issuer Ratings at A (high). At the same time, DBRS Morningstar confirmed Japan’s Short-Term Foreign and Local Currency – Issuer Ratings at R-1 (middle). The trend on all ratings is Stable.

Rohini Malkani
  • Rohini Malkani

Japan - Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessments

Please refer to PDF document for more detail about our research: Japan - Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessments

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated Sovereigns

This commentary introduces an updated approach to monitoring macroeconomic conditions and their potential impact on DBRS Morningstar ratings. Although the COVID-19 pandemic remains a source of uncertainty, the most affected sectors (e.g., travel, hospitality, etc.) are already plainly evident. For other sectors, the future macroeconomic impact of the pandemic is no longer expected to exceed the parameters of a normal economic downturn. Consequently, with this commentary, we are retiring our mode...

Rohini Malkani ... (+2)
  • Rohini Malkani
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Japanese Economy - Still Looking for a Boost

In this DBRS Morningstar commentary, we discuss Japan's challenging growth outlook at the outset of a spectator-less Olympics and amid ongoing concerns about the Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Japan's economy has experienced a moderate contraction in comparison to its G-7 peers and has experienced relatively smaller outbreaks, but a slow start to vaccinations may delay Japan's recovery between 3-6 months relative to its peers. Rising COVID-19 infections have prompted the government to ...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Global Macroeconomic Scenarios - June 2021 Update

This commentary provides the latest update to DBRS Morningstar's Global Macroeconomic Scenarios, which were first published on April 16, 2020. These scenarios have been regularly updated to reflect the most recent developments relating to the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and its economic consequences. A global recovery is underway, led by advanced economies that have made substantial progress in vaccinating the adult population and have reduced mobility restrictions. However, the globa...

Nichola James ... (+2)
  • Nichola James
  • Thomas R. Torgerson

Global Macroeconomic Scenarios: March 2021 Update

DBRS Morningstar first published a set of macroeconomic scenarios for select economies in April 2020. These scenarios have been regularly updated to reflect the most recent developments relating to the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and its economic consequences. The commentary below provides an update to our latest assessment of the economic recovery and labor market impact.

Loading...
New interest

Save your current filters as a new Interest

Please enter a name for this interest

Email alerts

Would you like to receive real-time email alerts when a new report is published under this interest?

Save This Search

These search results will show up under 'Saved searches' in the left panel

Please enter a name for this saved search

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch