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Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Pharma Mar : Q1 earnings in line

>Oncology gains momentum - Sales grew +12% y-o-y in Q1 2024 (vs -20% in Q4 and -9% in Q3). Biopharma sales increased +25% y-o-y in Q1 2024 (compared to -32% in Q4 and -27% in Q3) namely owing to higher revenues from Zepzelca and, to a lesser extent, also higher raw material and ‘early access’ sales. Royalties posted a +14% y-o-y increase (vs -6% in Q4 and+20% in Q3) while the more erratic licence revenues declined -8% which nonetheless implies a material sequential im...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Pharma Mar : Q4 EBITDA and bottom line somewhat better albeit negative

>Higher royalties offset the anticipated oncology slowdown - Total revenues receded significantly -20% y-o-y in Q4 2023 (vs -9% in Q3 and -1% in Q2), yet they were above our estimate helped by higher-than-expected royalties and licences (€ 29m vs € 20m est.). Biopharma sales decreased -32% y-o-y in Q4 2023 (compared to -27% in Q3 and -2% in Q2) reflecting a normalisation after the inflated figures seen in previous quarters that were favoured by one-off ‘early-access...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Pharma Mar : Q3 earnings above on higher-than-expected royalties

>Higher royalties offset the anticipated oncology slowdown - Total revenues receded -9% y-o-y in Q3 2023 (vs -1% in Q2 2023). This figure, however, is 24% above our estimate, driven by significantly higher royalties (€ 17m vs. € 10m in Q2 and € 7m estimated for Q3). Biopharma sales decreased 27% y-o-y in Q3 2023 (vs -2% in Q2 2023) reflecting a normalisation after the inflated figures seen in previous quarters that were favoured by one-off ‘early-access’ adjustments i...

Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 25/10/2023 Date Performance dep...

En amont des publications T3, nous sommes confiants pour le secteur, qui devrait confirmer le scenario de soft landing, ce qui limite les risques de warning. Toutefois, nous redoutons la réaction du marché alors que les commentaires devraient indiquer une poursuite du ralentissement au T4 menant à des croissances embarquées faibles début 2024. Ceci nous conduit à abaisser nos prévisions de croissance de plusieurs titres et limite le momentum du secteur. Dans ce contexte, nos top picks...

Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/25/2023 Date Performance sin...

Ahead of the Q3 publications, we are confident on the sector, which should confirm a soft-landing scenario which limits risks of a warning. However, we fear the market’s reaction as comments are likely to indicate a continuing slowdown in Q4, resulting in weak embedded growth in early 2024. This leads us to lower our growth forecasts for several companies and limits sector momentum. In this context, our Top Picks are: Sopra Steria, Indra, Alten, Bechtle, Wavestone and Assystem. - ...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Pharma Mar : Q3 preview: oncology sales to normalize after the Q2 ‘ear...

>Oncology revenues normalise and return to the levels seen in Q1 2023/Q4 2022 - Q3 2023 results will be released next 26 October. We expect total revenue to decrease by 27% y-o-y to € 30m explained by lower royalties (-50% y-o-y to € 7m), lower licences (-19% to € 6m) and the normalisation of the oncology revenues (-21% to € 17m vs the € 28m seen in Q2 that were inflated by the one-off ‘early-access’ adjustment in Lurbinectedin. At the EBITDA level, we expect a slight...

Anthony Dick ... (+3)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Gautier Le Bihan
  • Michael Foundoukidis
Anthony Dick ... (+3)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Gautier Le Bihan
  • Michael Foundoukidis
Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Pharma Mar : Q2 earnings above

>Momentum, albeit still weak, improves sequentially - Total revenues receded just -1% y-o-y in Q2 2023 (vs -60% in Q1 2023, -40% in Q4 2022 and -3% in Q3 2022) and was broadly in line with our numbers and the consensus. Biopharma sales decreased -2% y-o-y in Q2 2023 (compared to -50% in Q1 2023, -44% in Q4 2022 and -18% in Q3 2022) reflecting lower Yondelis revenues (forced price reduction after the patent cliff) and an imposed price reduction in Zepzelca’s early acc...

Juan Ros-Padilla ... (+2)
  • Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

Pharma Mar : Very weak Q1 earnings yet Zepzelca’s potential remains. U...

>Feeble Q1 2022 earnings yet unrelated to Zepzelca’s potential. - Total revenues receded significantly -60% y-o-y in Q1 2023 (vs -40 in Q4 2022, -3% in Q3 2022 and +2% in Q2 2022) and came notably below our numbers and the consensus. Biopharma sales decreased -50% y-o-y in Q1 2023 (compared to -44% in Q4 2022, -18% in Q3 2022 and -2% in Q2 2022) reflecting lower Yondelis revenues (forced price reduction after the patent cliff) and an imposed price reduction in Zepzel...

Life Sciences & Chemicals Team
  • Life Sciences & Chemicals Team

ODDO : Defensive growth sectors

We are publishing our first slideshow on our Life Sciences & Chemicals macropole. Our expertise integrates many sub-sectors which have been schematically separated into pharma, medtech, biotech, healthcare services and chemicals. The objective here is to review on a quarterly basis the key points of our respective sectors, by publishing both the financial and market metrics as well as the stocks that we recommend. - >Pharma’s defensive role validated thanks to a reassuring...

SN. SMITH & NEPHEW PLC
SOON SONOVA HOLDING AG
DSM KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG & CO. KGAA
1COV COVESTRO AG
BOI BOIRON SA
IPN IPSEN SA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
MDG1 MEDIGENE AG
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
QIA QIAGEN NV
PA8 PAION AG
SBS STRATEC SE
TNG TRANSGENE SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
KORI KORIAN SA
AFX CARL ZEISS MEDITEC AG
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
DEMANT DEMANT A/S
RHK RHON-KLINIKUM AG
LXS LANXESS AG
GXI GERRESHEIMER AG
ABVX ABIVAX SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
IPH INNATE PHARMA SA CLASS A
VIRP VIRBAC SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
ALCLS CELLECTIS SA
MRK MERCK KGAA
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S CLASS B
ALCAR CARMAT SA
SDF K+S AG
GRF GRIFOLS S.A. CLASS A
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
BAS BASF SE
SAN SANOFI
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
BAYN BAYER AG
UCB UCB S.A.
ORP ORPEA SA
SY1 SYMRISE AG
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
KWS KWS SAAT SE & CO KGAA
SZU SUEDZUCKER AG
GNFT GENFIT SA
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
ROVI LABORATORIOS FARMACEUTICOS ROVI S.A.
ADOC ADOCIA SA
BNR BRENNTAG SE
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
POXEL POXEL SA
ALM ALMIRALL SA
GRF.P GRIFOLS S.A. PREF CLASS B
COPN COSMO PHARMACEUTICALS NV
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
ALVAL VALBIOTIS SA
VIFN VIFOR PHARMA AG
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
ALTHX THERANEXUS SA
2HRA H&R GMBH & CO KGAA
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
MOR MORPHOSYS AG
MEDCL MEDINCELL SA
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
MRNA MODERNA INC.
BNTX BIONTECH SE
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
SYAB SYNLAB AG
AELIS AELIS FARMA SA
EAPI EUROAPI
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
GSK GSK PLC
BAI BENEVOLENTAI
Life Sciences & Chemicals Team
  • Life Sciences & Chemicals Team

ODDO : Defensive growth sectors

We are publishing our first slideshow on our Life Sciences & Chemicals macropole. Our expertise integrates many sub-sectors which have been schematically separated into pharma, medtech, biotech, healthcare services and chemicals. The objective here is to review on a quarterly basis the key points of our respective sectors, by publishing both the financial and market metrics as well as the stocks that we recommend. - >Pharma’s defensive role validated thanks to a reassuring...

SN. SMITH & NEPHEW PLC
SOON SONOVA HOLDING AG
DSM KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG & CO. KGAA
1COV COVESTRO AG
BOI BOIRON SA
IPN IPSEN SA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
MDG1 MEDIGENE AG
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
QIA QIAGEN NV
PA8 PAION AG
SBS STRATEC SE
TNG TRANSGENE SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
KORI KORIAN SA
AFX CARL ZEISS MEDITEC AG
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
DEMANT DEMANT A/S
RHK RHON-KLINIKUM AG
LXS LANXESS AG
GXI GERRESHEIMER AG
ABVX ABIVAX SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
IPH INNATE PHARMA SA CLASS A
VIRP VIRBAC SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
ALCLS CELLECTIS SA
MRK MERCK KGAA
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S CLASS B
ALCAR CARMAT SA
SDF K+S AG
GRF GRIFOLS S.A. CLASS A
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
BAS BASF SE
SAN SANOFI
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
BAYN BAYER AG
UCB UCB S.A.
ORP ORPEA SA
SY1 SYMRISE AG
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
KWS KWS SAAT SE & CO KGAA
SZU SUEDZUCKER AG
GNFT GENFIT SA
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
ROVI LABORATORIOS FARMACEUTICOS ROVI S.A.
ADOC ADOCIA SA
BNR BRENNTAG SE
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
POXEL POXEL SA
ALM ALMIRALL SA
GRF.P GRIFOLS S.A. PREF CLASS B
COPN COSMO PHARMACEUTICALS NV
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
ALVAL VALBIOTIS SA
VIFN VIFOR PHARMA AG
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
ALTHX THERANEXUS SA
2HRA H&R GMBH & CO KGAA
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
MOR MORPHOSYS AG
MEDCL MEDINCELL SA
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
MRNA MODERNA INC.
BNTX BIONTECH SE
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
SYAB SYNLAB AG
AELIS AELIS FARMA SA
EAPI EUROAPI
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
GSK GSK PLC
BAI BENEVOLENTAI
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