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Temporary production disturbances behind sales miss More cautious on ballast; ’22e-’24e EBIT down 22-25% Reiterate BUY, TP of SEK 45 (50), ~80% upside
Sales down q-o-q, 9% EBIT vs. ~23% avg Q3’21-Q2’22 Consensus ‘22e EBIT down 15-20%, ‘23e down 5-10% High-to-mid single digit negative reaction likely
Strong ramp-up behind 14% sales beat, ~70% EBIT beat ’22e EBIT up 10%, ’23e-’24e EBIT up 2-1% Reiterate BUY, TP of SEK 50 (45), ~60% upside
Miss on orders, sales +14%, EBIT +67% vs. cons Cons to raise ‘22e EBIT by c 10%, small ‘23e changes Positive reaction warranted given strong ramp-up
Q2 report on Thursday 18 August ‘22e EBIT up 3%, ‘23e-‘24e EBIT down 12-9% Reiterate BUY; TP of SEK 45 (55), ~60% upside
SEK 65m related to order back in 2018, we believe ~10% of backlog, could impact ~5% of cons ‘23e EBIT Expect small negative reaction on the day
Solid sales ramp-up behind significant EBIT beat ‘22e-‘24e EBIT up 8-4%; ~40% CAGR ‘20-‘25e Reiterate BUY; TP of SEK 55 (54), 60% upside
Orders fairly in-line, sales +19%, EBIT +48% vs. cons Positive outlook, ballast water demand picking up Solid numbers, clear positive reaction warranted
Q1 report on Tuesday, 10 May Increased confidence in delivery ramp-up, EBIT up 8-3% Reiterate BUY; TP of SEK 54 (53), ~40% upside
Customer hesitancy behind lower orders, adj. EBIT +3% ‘22e-‘23e EBIT down 4-1%: ~40% CAGR ‘20-‘25e Reiterate BUY, TP SEK 53 (54), 65% upside
Continued low orders, in-line sales/EBIT vs. cons Cons likely to lower ‘22e EBIT by 2-4% Customer hesitancy expected to weigh on the share
Q4 report on Thursday, 10 February at 07:45 CET Adj. EBIT +2% ‘21e, +1% ‘22e, +3% ‘23e 50% adj. EBIT CAGR ’20-‘23e, 30-40% ROCE ‘22e-‘25e
Near-term challenges affecting sales, strong margins Adj. EBIT -23% ‘21e, -6% ‘22e, +1% ‘23e Keep BUY; TP SEK 54, 22-11x EV/EBIT ‘22e-‘23e
~40% lower sales and EBIT vs. consensus Number of factors behind temporarily lower deliveries Near-term uncertainty to initially weigh on the stock
Q3 report on Wednesday, 10 November at 07:45 CET Adj. EBIT -1% in ‘22e-‘23e BUY: 18-10x EV/EBIT ‘22e-‘23e, ~40% EBIT CAGR
US expansion in Industrial, BWTS order from Erma First More about reassurance than additional upside BUY; 16-9x EV/EBIT ‘22e-‘23e, ~40% EBIT CAGR
Q2’21 adj. EBIT SEK 12m, above ABGSCe at SEK -1m We leave adj. EBIT roughly unchanged for ’21-‘23e Maintaining BUY and SEK 54 target price
Orders down y-o-y, stronger than expected on sales/EBIT 2021 to be back-end loaded, order growth in Q4’21e Good on execution, no changes to the long-term case
Cleantech growth in ballast water and hydrogen Strong growth – ABGSCe adj. EBIT CAGR ’20-’25e of 39% Initiating coverage with BUY and TP of SEK 54
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