A potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine could unlock one of the largest reconstruction efforts in modern history. The World Bank estimates Ukraine will need USD486bn in rebuilding efforts over the next decade, but we estimate this would add only c2% to annual European construction spending. While the direct earnings effect may be modest, we expect the “rebuild Ukraine theme” to drive investor sentiment. We see Volvo, Epiroc, Hexagon, Metso, Hiab and ABB as some of the primary beneficia...
The Q4 results were strong, driven by Power Solutions, but the 2025 margin guidance was below our estimate and consensus, and the positive share price reaction (on reporting day) to us implies the market was expecting far lower, suggesting record-low sentiment in the stock. We have cut our 2025–2026e adj. EBIT by c18% on average and reduced our target price to DKK190 (215). However, as we still find the risk/reward positively skewed, believing Vestas has likely left its worse days behind, we rei...
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