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ABGSC Financials Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
  • Simon Brun
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
  • Simon Brun

Restart share buybacks of NOK 4.2bn

Wants to acquire up to 1% or NOK 4.2bn of own shares until 1 Oct. Just soft of consensus NOK 5.47bn expectation for 25e, inline with ABG. Stock to react just soft to today's capital repatriation plan

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland

Insurance trip: 16 insurers in three days

Non-life have price increases > inflation in all markets, most in Norway. Life insurance growth with rapid growth & dividend payments. Prefer ALMB, Sampo, Solid, Tryg among non-life; STB for life

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland

Delivers in-line with expectations

Adj. PTP -1% vs. ABGSCe & cons, driven by mgmt loan loss overlay; Trimmed lending guiding and positive capital revisions; Cons. up for 25e (beat), minor for '26e-'27e, stock to hold up

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
Håkon Astrup
  • Håkon Astrup

SpareBank 1 Sør-Norge (Hold, TP: NOK180.00) - Strong core revenues

Helped by strong core revenues and limited loan losses, the Q1 ROE was 13.5%, despite some underlying cost inflation and merger-related costs. Backed by solid earnings generation, the CET1 ratio rose ~30bp QOQ to 18.3%, with an ample buffer to the ~17.6% requirement, boding well for meaningful distributions over our forecast horizon. We have raised our 2026–2027e EPS by 2–3% on higher NII and fee income, and our target price to NOK180 (170), but continue to find the valuation fair and reiterate ...

Håkon Astrup
  • Håkon Astrup

Sparebank 1 SMN (Buy, TP: NOK202.00) - Solid core revenue growth

Q1 PTP was NOK1,269m, 6% lower YOY, as stronger ‘real NII’ and fees were offset by soft trading and higher opex. On a QOQ basis, two fewer interest days, and somewhat softer growth, led to a ‘real NII’ decline. With a CET1 ratio of 18.1%, we see continued capital headroom, supportive of solid distributions. We have trimmed our 2026–2027e EPS by ~1% on the NII trend, but reiterate our BUY and NOK202 target price.

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