reports
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Mattias Holmberg
Set for spicy growth
Our recent field trip to India (visiting Volvo, Epiroc, Trelleborg, Autoliv and others) alongside our analysis suggests the country is set to take centre stage as a global manufacturing hub over the coming decade, shifting from being the sixth- to the third-largest end-market for the Swedish Industrial sector. India’s strong economic growth trajectory and favourable demographics mean the companies: 1) see double-digit growth as sustainable; 2) are pursuing manufacturing capacity expansions; and ...
ABB ABB LTD.
ELUX B ELECTROLUX AB CLASS B
SAND SANDVIK AB
HUSQ B HUSQVARNA AB CLASS B
ALV AUTOLIV INC.
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
DOM DOMETIC GROUP AB
LIAB LINDAB INTERNATIONAL AB
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALIG ALIMAK GROUP AB
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB CLASS A
EPRO B ELECTROLUX PROFESSIONAL
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
SYSR SYSTEMAIR AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
VOLCARb VOLVO CARS
BEIJ B BEIJER REF AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Karl Bokvist
- Mattias Holmberg
Who stands to benefit?
A potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine could unlock one of the largest reconstruction efforts in modern history. The World Bank estimates Ukraine will need USD486bn in rebuilding efforts over the next decade, but we estimate this would add only c2% to annual European construction spending. While the direct earnings effect may be modest, we expect the “rebuild Ukraine theme” to drive investor sentiment. We see Volvo, Epiroc, Hexagon, Metso, Hiab and ABB as some of the primary beneficia...
UPM UPM-KYMMENE OYJ
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
ELUX B ELECTROLUX AB CLASS B
SAND SANDVIK AB
STERV STORA ENSO OYJ CLASS R
FLS FLSMIDTH & CO. A/S
KEMIRA KEMIRA OYJ
ROCK B ROCKWOOL INTERNATIONAL A/S CLASS B
METSB METSA BOARD OYJ CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
BILL BILLERUDKORSNAS AB
KCR KONECRANES OYJ
LIAB LINDAB INTERNATIONAL AB
ALIG ALIMAK GROUP AB
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB CLASS A
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
SYSR SYSTEMAIR AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
BEIJ B BEIJER REF AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
KALMAR KALMAR
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Douglas Lindahl
Nibe Industrier (Hold, TP: SEK45.00) - Margin trajectory focus
Q4 was above our forecasts, with a Climate Solutions’ adj. EBIT margin c50bp above our estimate as the main positive. However, we remain cautious on the margin trajectory, partly due to the continued weak gross margin. We have raised our adj. EBIT by c1% on average for 2025–2026e and reiterate our SEK45 target price and HOLD. Despite overhanging risks, the valuation remains challenging, in our view, offering limited upside potential.
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Douglas Lindahl
Nibe Industrier (Hold, TP: SEK45.00) - Mind the details
We estimate Q4 sales of SEK10,690m, organic growth of c-8.5% YOY, and adj. EBIT of SEK1,112m (c6% below our adjusted consensus). We expect management to mention expectations of an improving heat pump market in Europe throughout 2025. We have lowered our 2024–2026e adj. EBIT by an average of c6%. We reiterate our HOLD and have reduced our target price to SEK45 (50).
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
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