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Benjamin Wahlstedt ... (+2)
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Viva Wine Group - Tough to just sip back and relax

Org. growth of -5%, in line with ABGSC est. Soft short-term outlook due to difficult macro TP trimmed to SEK 58 (60), reiterate BUY

Benjamin Wahlstedt ... (+2)
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Viva Wine Group - Q3 results slightly weaker than expected

Adj. EBITA of SEK 87m (-8% vs. ABGSC est.) Price adjustments expected to support Q4e margins We expect ‘23e cons. EBITA to come down by 2-3%

Benjamin Wahlstedt ... (+2)
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Viva Wine Group - Stop and smell the rosé

Macro headwinds make us cautious into the Q3 report FX headwinds bring down estimates, TP to SEK 60 (65) A defensive stock with attractive growth options: BUY

Benjamin Wahlstedt ... (+2)
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Viva Wine Group - A necessity in difficult times

Solid growth and market share gains seen in Q2 We argue Viva is well positioned to gain further share ‘22e-‘24e adj. EBITA raised by 1-2%

Benjamin Wahlstedt ... (+2)
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Viva Wine Group - A strong set of Q2 numbers

Org. growth 1.4pp ahead of ABGSC estimates Adj. EBITA 9% above consensus estimates We expect consensus to lift ‘22e adj. EBITA by 3-5%

Benjamin Wahlstedt ... (+3)
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Petter Nystrøm

Viva Wine Group - Wining about e-commerce

We expect organic sales decline of 4% in Q2’22 A softer outlook for the e-commerce market We reiterate BUY but cut our TP to SEK 65 (70)

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Petter Nystrøm

Viva Wine Group - All for wine, wine for all

Continues to gain market share Cost inflation to weigh on Q2’22e margins We raise our TP to SEK 70 (68) and reiterate BUY

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Petter Nystrøm

Viva Wine Group - Strong Q1 results in spite of tough comps

Adj. EBITA of SEK 95m, +8% vs. consensus Sweden particularly strong, E-commerce in line Consensus ‘22e EBITA expected to come up 3-4%

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Petter Nystrøm

Viva Wine Group - Q1e earnings growth breaking into double digits

Q1’22e EBITA of SEK 87m (+10% y-o-y) Estimate cuts due to external headwinds TP cut to SEK 68 (75), reiterate BUY

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Petter Nystrøm

Viva Wine Group - Adding another club to the club

Acquires Vinklubben, a leading wine club in Sweden Adds ~2.5% to EBITDA Price tag in line with trading multiples (9.7x ’22e EBITDA)

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Petter Nystrøm

Viva Wine Group - Nothing to wine about

Strong results across the board We expect a soft H1’22e followed by a strong H2’22e TP raised to SEK 75 (74) on raised estimates

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Petter Nystrøm

Viva Wine Group - Q4 results significantly above expectations

Sales in line with ABGSC est. Adj. EBITA of SEK 144m (+29% vs. consensus) DPS of SEK 1.50 proposed

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Petter Nystrøm

Viva Wine Group - In vino veritas

No. 1 wine distributor in the Nordics: 18% market share Recently entered the European online market through Initiate coverage with BUY and TP of SEK 74

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