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ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius

Assistance & Personal Safety lead the way

Assistance and Personal Safety lead the way. Underwriting to grow at a CAGR of 4% until 2026. BUY reiterated with unchanged TP of SEK 100.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland

Insurance trip: 14 insurers in three days

High price increases in non-life = margin expansion; Attractive dividend levels to come from life units; BUY stability from Sampo/Tryg; earnings growth STB/GJF

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius

More proof that discount to peers will narrow

Robust Q2 beat, driven by investment portfolio. 2025e-26e top line cut 4-8% from end of Power partnership. Market leader at a discount, reiterate BUY.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius

Discount to shrink as growth accelerates

Premium income to pick up in H2'24e. Minor estimate tweaks, attractive earnings scenario intact. TP raised to SEK 100 (90), reiterate BUY.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius

Investment portfolio excels

Robust Q1 beat, driven by investment portfolio. We increase adj. EPS by 0-5% for 2024e-26e. Market leader at a discount, reiterate BUY.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius
Jan Erik Gjerland ... (+2)
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius

Solid Försäkring - Strong Q3, attractive earnings outlook

ATH technical result, ATL combined ratio Underlying estimates hiked by 2-3% for ’23e-’24e Story intact, valuation attractive, BUY

Jan Erik Gjerland ... (+2)
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius

Solid Försäkring - Premium growth & low cost ratio drive Q3 beat

Q3 Technical result +21% vs. ABGSC… …driven by premium growth and an improving cost ratio Cons. estimates up by 5-8%, share up today

Hanna Skolt ... (+3)
  • Hanna Skolt
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius

Sector Report - Strong near-term underwriting trends in Q3…

Q3e: Benign underwriting (UW), tougher financials Valuation now undemanding vs. Nordic peers - HOLD

Jan Erik Gjerland ... (+2)
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Patrik Brattelius

Solid Försäkring - Still strong, still cheap

Q3’22e underwriting result +30% y-o-y Cutting premium income by 1% for 2023e-24e Low valuation with attractive yield, reiterate BUY

Hanna Skolt ... (+2)
  • Hanna Skolt
  • Jan Erik Gjerland

Sector Fast Comment - Non-life Norway: Market share trends Q2’22

GJF and Tryg lost q-o-q, If and smaller players gained Commercials drive growth; expect further comp in Private Prefer Sampo, Tryg and Solid; fund with Top and GJF

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